Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout1996-09-16 I I .", A I } l~l] ll.'~l~, hl [:Ii \fBi R !,~ 1. Call to Order. 2. loint Meeting ~vith School Board a. Overview of Long Range Fiscal Planning 1. Current financial positiox~/policies. 2. Future revenue and expenditure prolections. 3. State/local comparisons of revenues and expenditures. b. Identification of Issues for Future Discussion. c. Identification of Additional Information Required. d. Scheduling of Future Meetings. e. QUIP Video. 3. Adjourn to September 18, 1996, 7:00 p.m., for joint meeting with Charlottes- ville City Council, the Rivanna Solid Waste Authority Board of Directors and the Solid Waste Task Force. COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: DATE: RE: Robert W. Tucker, Jr., County Executive Ella W. Carey, CMC, Clerk ~ September 17, 1996 Board Actions of September 16, 1996 At the joint meefmg of the Board of Supervisors and School Board on September 16, /996, the Boards scheduled their next joint meeting for Monday, October 14, 1996, 4:30 p.m.. in Room 235. At the meeting, the Board will continue their discussion on possible short and long term solutions to address projected shortfalls in FY 1998-2001 revenues. The Boards eliminated as a possible long term solution "taxing authority for School Boards," and added for discussion "raising the transient occupancy tax" and "changing bus schedules". Madison Cummings asked for all infor- mation staff has on a "meals trax". Dr. Castner is to put together a presentation on School Board goals to be included in the Board of Supervisors' packets for the next meeting. The Board adopted the attached resolution expressing appreciation to all the persom~el who worked beyond the call of duty during Hurricane Fran. At 7:45 p.m., the Board adjourned to September 17, 1996, 5:00 p.m., in the County Executive's Conference Room to continue its discussion on legal matters pertaining to reversion. /ewc Attachments (1) cc: Richard E. Huff, II Roxanne White Kevin C. Castner Larry Davis File COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AGENDA TITLE: AGENDA DATE: F/nanciai Planning Work Session September 16, 1996 ' SUBJE CT/PROPOSAL/REOUEST: ACTION: INFORMATION: X Joint Work Session with tho School Board on Financial Harming Issues CONSENT AGENDA: ACTION: INFORMATION: ATTACHMENTS: BACKGROUND: During FY96/97 budget work sessions, tho Board of Supervisors requested that a joint meeting be held with tho School Board to dbenss long range financial issues. DISCUSSION: Attached for your information prior to the work session are two documents: Financial Condition Evab~atk,~t: This document presents a series of financial trend indicators that together present a picture of the County's ~aneial eolld~'t~ ~ indicato~ pllll together infurelation from budgetary and fimmeiai reports as well as economic and deal!ographic data tlmt relate to various important aspects of the County finance: gXte~llai revenues, expenditures, fund balances, liquidity, nefuud~ liabilities and business activity. These indicators of financial health, wkieh were developed by the International City Managers Association (ICMA) for their handbook '~EValllathlg Financial Condition'S, form the basis of our ana~s. The publication of this document fulfills one of the goals of file Collaty's adopted financial policies ~ "lbo enllll~ will develop alld al~nnaHy llpdate a final tt~ond monitoring system that will e~amlne fisCal trends from the preeeAing five years." Five-Yenr Fiaanchl Forecast: The attached Five-Year Financial Forecast also marks the first step in meeting one of tl~ stated goals ia the County's Financial lVhna~aanent Policy, which is to "develop and annually update a long-range (3-5) year financial forecasting syste~ which willinclude projections ofreveames and expend, as well as future costs and financing of capital improvements and other projects that are included in the capital budget~" ~ repori is intended to help both the Board of Supervisors and the ~chool Board take a comprehensive look at the financial condition of the County in order to weigh the impact of future decisions and policies in light of projected revenues and expenditures. This report provides the details and background material for the s, mmary information that will be presented ia a more general context at Monday's work session. The proposed agenda for the financial plannbg work session is: L Overview of Long-Range Fiscal Plann/mg Current financial posi~on/policies Future revenue and expenditure projections State/Local Comparisons of Revenues and Expenditm'es II, Identification oflssnes for Future Discussion ]I. Identification of Additional lnftnraatien Required IV. Scheduling of Future Meetings CO1V/ME,-, ATI :N: The information is attached for your review prior to the work session ami does not require any action at this time. 96.175 Albemarle County, Virginia Financial Condition Evaluation: Fiscal Years 1991-1997 Prepared September, 1996 Acknowledgments: County of Albemarle staff wish to acknowledge the usefulness of the "Evaluating Financial Condition" handbook for local governments published by ICMA (copyright 1986)to use in developing both its financial policies and the f'mancial condition indicators included in this document. Much of text used to preface each section, describe the indicators, and to identify any warning trends has been borrowed t~om this publication. Introduction Table of Contents Revenues Revenues Per Capita Restricted Revenues Intergovernmental Revenues Property Tax Revenues Assessment Ratios User Charge Coverage Revenue Surplus/Shortfalls 5 8 10 12 14 16 17 18 Expenditures Expenditures Per Capita Employees Per Capita Operating Position Operating Surplus/Deficit Unreserved Fund Balances Liquidity Debt & Unfunded Liabilities Currem Liabilities Long-Term Debt Per Capita Long-Term Debt Debt Service 19 22 24 25 27 28 29 31 34 35 36 37 Accumulated Employee Leave Capital Plant Capital Outlay School Debt & Capital Outlay Community Profile Population Growth Median Age School Enrollment Personal Income Per Capita Unemployment Rate Families in Poverty Property Values Residential Development Business Activity Appendix Financial Management Policies (Full Text) 38 39 41 42 43 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 55 Introduction Introduction What is Financial Condition and Why Evaluate it? The term "financial condition" can have many meanings. In a narrow, accounting sense, it means "cash solvency," or a government's ability to generate enough cash over a thirty to sixty day period to pay all of its bills. In a budgetary sense, financial condition refers to the ability to generate enough revenues to meet expenditures during a normal budget period and not to incur budget deficits. In a still broader sense, financial condition may mean "long-nm solvency," a government's ability to adequately meet the costs of doing business over time, or "service level solvency," the ability ro provide services at the level and quality desired for the health, safety and welfare of the community and that its citizens desire. However, in a general sense, financial condition is synonymous with financial 'health,' and may be summarized as a government's ability to finance services on a continuing basis, to withstand local and regional economic dismptious, and to meet the demands of natural growth, decline and change. The County of Albemarie has a responsibility to its citizens to ensure that the County ~s in good financial condition. This means accounting for public funds, managing the County's finances wisely and allocating resources efficiently and effectively in order to provide desired services. To accomplish this, the Board of Sopermsors edopted Financial Management Policies that provide financial practice guidelines and goals for the long term betterment and stability of Albemarle County. (These policies are presented in full in the Appendix to this document. Additionally, relevant section(s) ofthese financial policies are reproduced in each chapter.) One of these aforementioned policies states that "It]be County will develop and annually update a financial trend monitoring system that will examine fiscal trends from the preceding five years. Where possible, trend indicators will be developed and tracked for specific elements of the County's fiscal policy." By systematically monitoring and evaluating this trend informatien, the County will be able: to gain a better understanding of its financial condition; to identify previously unrecognized or emerging financial problems before they reach serious proportions; to present a picture of the County's financial strengths and weaknesses to the Board of Supervisors, citizens, and other groups with a need to know; to introduce lung-range considerations into the budgeting process; and to evaluate whether established financial policies are effective and are being adhered to. In fulfillment of this established objective, this document presents a series of financial trend indicators that together present a picture of the County's financial condition. These indicators pull together information from budgetary and financial reports as well as economic and demographic data and relate to various important aspects of County finances: external revenues, expenditures, fund balances, liquidity, unfunded liabilities and business activity. Where possible, these indicators also address specific elements of the County's financial policies. What is Albemarle County's Overall Financial Condition? Overall, the financial position of the County with respect to revenues, expenditures, operating position, debt. unfunded liabilities and capital plant is positive. Albemarle County enjoys a large, growing revenue base that has enabled it to provide services to citizens without increasing tax rates. Since FYgl, real per capita net operating revenues (defined as revenues available for general municipal operations, prior to any inter- fund transfers, and net of revenues collected from the split bilking of property taxes and for the revenue sharing agreement with Charlottesville) have increased by 12.2% - faster than the combined effects of inflation and population growth. This increase is due _1 primarily to the 28% increase in real, per capita general property tax revenues that has occurred since FY91 despite reductions in the real properS, the personal preperty and the machinery und tools tax rates. Additiunally, greater than anticipated total revenue receipts for most of this six year period have been used to build the County's financial reserves. The County also maintains a relatively flexible, diversified and stable revenue base that permits adjustments to changing conditions. and protects the County against shurt-term fiuctoatiens in any one revenue year. Restricted operating revenues (i.e., revenues legally earmarked for specific nses] account for only about 20% of the County's total net operating revenues. However. since FY92. restricted operating revenues, as a percentage of total net operating revenues, have increased, particularly to finance General Government operations. Additionally, the revenue base is diversified. In FY97, local property tax revenues (net of split billing and revenue sharing funds) accounted for about 45.2% of all net operating revenues, while other local taxes provided an additional 25% and State and Federal funds contributed the remaining 29%. However, the County remains relatively dependent on property tax revenues, particularly real estate tax revenues, to finance operations, despite its stated commitment to reduce this dependency. Since FYgl, net property tax revenues have increased fi.om 39.8% of total net operating revenues to 45.2% in FY97. During the same period, State and Federal funds, as a percentage of total net operating revenues, declined fi.ora 33% (FYgl) to 29.3% (FY97.) This relative decline in inter-governmental revenues has been most pronounced for the School Division, where State and Federal aid has fallen fi.om 38.9% of total School Division operating revenues, to 34.7% (a decline of 4.2%). On the other hand, State and Federal funding has increased slightly for General Government -- rising fi.om 19.9% of total net operating revenues in FYgl to 20.1% in FY97. Finally, as part of maintaining a healthy revenue base. the County also is committed to maintaining adequate user charge coverage. That is, fees and user charges should cover a target amount of the cost of related services provided. However, since FY91, coverage has declined slightly for both the development departments (Inspections, Planning, Zoning, and Engineering - Erosion Control) and the Department of Parks and Recreation. In FY91, permit and fee revenues offset 42.5% of all development activities, compared to 35.5% in FY97, a decline of 7%. User charges offset 24% of parks activities in FY91, compared to 20% in FY97 -- a 4°/0 drop. Since FY91, real per capita net operating expenditures (net of split billing and revenue sharing costs) also have increased. However, growth in real per capita operating expenditures generally has kept pace with residents' ability xo pay. Between FYgl and FY97, per capita net operating expendimras (in constant dollars) ere projected to increase by 12.4% -- a rate slightly less than the anticipated 14.5% growth in real personal incomes per capita for residents of the Charlottesville - Albemarle area. However, expenditure growth has not occurred uniformly across all sectors of local government: real per capita General Govemmem expendituras have grown faster than real per capita expanditures un fue Sehools. BetweenFY91 andFY97, real per capita net operating expenditures on School needs increased by 6.3%, while real per capita expenditures on General Government programs grew by 28.90/0. Differences in the relative growth rates of real per capita net operating expenditures basically reflects the impact of differential growth rares in State and Federal funding for School Division and General Government operations. In the School Division, the 8.2% decline in real per capita State and Federal funding assistance since FYgl has offset increases in real per capita debt service (53.7%), the General Fund transfer to the School capital budget (100%). and the operating transfer to the Schools (13.9%). By euntrast, real per capita funding fi.om the State and Federal governments for General Government increased by 33% between FYgl and FY97. Another indicator of total expendiVaras per capita is total employees per capita, since personnel costs (salaries and fi.inge) are a major portion of a local government's operating budget. Since FY91, total municipal employees per capita (measured in terms of Full Time Equivalent positions, or "FTE's"), have grown from 24.7 in FY91 to 28.6 in FY97 -- an increase of 15.6%. Most of this growth is due to increases in the number of School Division employees (including teachers, central office staff, and other employees.) Between FY91 andFY97, totalpercapitaSchoolDivisinnFTE'srose from 19.9 to 23.3, aninereaseof17.4%. Byenntrast, per capitaGaneral Government FTE's grew by only 8%, from 4.9 to 5.3~ The fact that growth in the total number of employees per capita has exceeded the overall increase in net County operating expenditeres since FY91 indicates that personnel costs (salery and fringe) are a driving force behind increases in operating expenditures. Operating Position: Albenaarle County's operating position is quite favorable. Between FY91 and FY95, the County has run end-of-year operating surpluses, indicating that currant revenues have been sufficient to support ~xrant operations. In addition, 'surplus· revenues have provided a steady source of funds to be held in reserve against unanticipated events, emergenmes, unexpected capitalor non-recurring expenditares, and/or uneven cash flow. Correspondingty, fund balanees have bean sizeable. BetweenFY91andFY95, undesignated fund Balances exceededthe required minimum of 10% of total net operating revenues, rising steadily to ahigh of almost 17% of total net operating revenues in FY95. Finally. the cash position of the County is quite favorable. Between FYgl and FY95. the County held more than twice the amount of cash and short-term investments than it incurred in current liabilities, demonstrating sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations, and providing substantial and-of-year cash reserves. Debt & Unfunded Liabilities: Albemarle County has a relatively healthy debt profile. Between FY91 and FY95, current liabilities, as a pereent uf net operating revenues, declined -~ a signal that the County has been able to finance its short-term obligations from cra'rem revenues instead of borrowed funds. (Of course, short-term debt may be used to'smooth' uneven cash flows during the year.) Additionally, long-term debt has stayed within the County's ability to pay: both long-term debt and the associated debt service payments have remained within the target ratios set in the Finuncial Policies. Since FY91, net direct bonded long-term debt has amoutued to less than one percent of the estimated market value of taxable property - well I~low the 2% maximum established by the Board of Supervisors. Additioualty, net long-term debt per capita has remained below the $t,000 maximum. Finally, the ratio uf debt service expanditares to net General Fund revenues has not exceeded the 10% cap. However. it is clear that long-term debt levels are increasing. Based on future projects approved as part of the FY 96/97 - 00/01 Capital Improvement Plan, long-term debt, as a percentage of assessed valuation, is expected to grow by .2% to .97% in FY01. Per capita net direct bonded long-term debt is projected to rise to $943, and debt Service, as a percentage of nat General Fund revenues, is projected to grow to a high of 9.2% in FY99. Although debt and debt service costs are projected to remain within the target ratios, care must be exercised when designing future capital plans, to avoid incurring debt beyond that which is manageable, given the projected tax base and existing tax rates. Although the County potentially may incur much more lung-tarm debt (given the current debt to assessed value ratio), the County is nearing the limit on its ability to pay for borrowed funds g~van the existing revenue strearm However, unlike per capita long-term debt, the level of accumulated uncompensated absences per employee (an unfunded liability for the County) has decreased sinee FYgl Batween FY91 and FY95. the total value of unused vacation and sick leave per FTE declined fi.om $777 in FY91 to $703 in FY95. The majority ufthis decrease was due to a change in personnel policy which no longer permitted an employee to receive payment for unused sick leave upon termination or rctiremem. Capital Plant: Albemarle County is committed to maintaining, replacing, and enhancing its physical plant both to protect its capital investments and to minimize future maituananee and repair costs. Part of this commitmant includes increased funding for maintananee/repair projects fi.om currant revanuas, as opposed to borrowed funds. Sinee FY91, the level uf capital outlay, as a percentage of General Fend operating revenues (net ufrevenue sharing revenues), has increased dramatically, from 1.9% to 3.3% in FY97. CThe level of capital outlay in FY97 .jumps to 17.6% of General Fun d net operating revenues with the addition of the one-time proceeds fi.om the split billh~g of personal property taxes in FYgl and real property taxes in FY96 -- all of which has been earmarked for School capital needs.) The County's commitment to protecting and enhancing its physical plant also is illustrated by the ongoing operating budget impact of providing for School Division capital needs, which typically constitute the largest portion of annual capital budgets.. Together, debt service payments on the School Division's long-term debt and the operating budget transfer to the School Capital Improvement Program (capital outlay) have increased from 5.8% of total expenditures on Schools to 7.7% in FY97 (excluding split billing funds for School capital projects). With split billing, constant dollar capitat untlay jumped to more than $14.6 million in FY97, und the combined cost of debt service and capital outlay rose to 24.6% of total School costs. 3 Community Profile: Albemarle County is a vibrant, growing community with a young and middle-aged population, rising personal incomes per capita a s~rung employment base and a robust business sector. These demographic characteristics have shaped, and will continue to shape, the demand for services in the County. Since 1990, the population of Albemarle has increased by almost 1 I% -- from 69.500 residents in FY91 to a projected 76,932 residents in FY97. Population growth hasbeen relatively smooth and steady, averaging about 1.9°/dyear. School enrollment also has increased smoothly and steadily since FY91, at an average rate of about 2.4% per year. If current conditions persist, both general population and school enrollment growth are projected to continue in a smooth and steady manner into the next century, albeit at slightly slower rates. Not surprisingly, new residential development, as a percentage of total new development, also has been increasing. Since the mid 1980%. the market value of new residential development, as a percanmge of the value of total new development, has increased from 75°/$ to 86% -- an average annual increase of about 1.3%. Albemarle also is a relatively young community ~- nearlyahalfof all residents are under 30 year of age, Only 15% of residents are over 60 years of age. However, the fastesl growing segmem of the population has been, and will continue to be. the 40-60 and 65~- age groups. By FY 2010, the 40-60 population is expected to have grown by 60% since FYgl, and the 60+ group is expected to have increased by 88%. (By contrast, the number of penple undcr the age of 20 is expected to have grown by 22%, while the population aged 2040 is expected to have grown by only 4%.) As previously mentioned, real, per capita personal incomes also have increased since the early 1990% growing an average of about 1,4°/dyear, from $15,694 in FY91 to an estimated $17,734 in FY97. This increase occurs in conjunction with a consistently low unemploymeut rate in the County, relative to the Cit~ of Charlottesville, the State of Virginia, and the Nation as a whole. Since the mid-1980's, the County's unemployment rate has remained relatively steady -- at about 2-3°/dyear (except during the mcessianary period of the early 1990's which increased unemployment nationwide.) Property values also have been on the rise. The values ofresidantial and commercial property in the County have increased annually since FY86. However, the growth rate of residential and commercial property values has slowed since the mid 1980's, dropping from a 5-6% increase over the prior year in FY87 to only level (0%) growth in FY95 (ftscal non re-assessmem years.) Finally, business activity in the County has picked up since the early 1990%. In FY91. sales tax revenues accounted for aborn 6% of net operating revenues. By FY97, that percentage had increased to 6,6 Given the inter-relatiunships between demographic and economic factors andrevenues and expenditure growth, it is l~kely that population growth, increasing property values, rising personal incomes, low unemployment and a s~ong business sector have conlributed to the growing revenue base of the County. As evident in the fa'st chapter, net operating revenues have been increasing, despite reductions in both the real property and personal property mx rates. However, the growing population and increasing numbers of school children have put pressure on County government to meet the demands of growth, while maintaining current sea-vice levels, particularly in the area of education. 4 Revenues Revenue Indicators Why are Revenaes Important? Revenues determine the capacity of a government m provide services to its citizens. Important indicators of'~revenue health" are growth, flexibility, diversity and good administration. Under ideal conditions, revenues should grow at a rote greater than or equal to the combined effects of inflation and population growth, and should be sufficiently free from spending restrictions to permit adjustments to changing conditions. Additionally, therevenue base should be diversifind -- not overly dependant on residential, commercial or industrial land uses, or on external funding sources or discretionary state aid. Finally, user fees should cover increases in the cost of related services provided. What are Albemarle County's Revenue Policies? 1. Reassessment of real property will be made every two years. 2. The County will maintain sound appraisal procedures to keep property values current. The County's goal is to achieve an annual assessment to sales ratio of at least 95% under current real estate market conditious, when the January 1st assessment is compared to sales in the succeeding calendar year when that year is a reassessmom year. 3. The County will mffmtaln a diversified and stable revenue structure to shelter it from short-term fluctuations in any one reveuue year. 4. The County will estimate its annual revenues by an objective, analytical process. 5. The County will monitor all taxes to insure that they are equitably administered and collections are timely and accurate. 6. The County will follow an aggressive policy of collecting mx revenues. The annual level of uncollected carmot property taxes should not exceed 4% unless zaased by conditions beyond the County's control. 7. To the extent possible, the County shall attempt to decrease the dependency on real estate taxes to finance the County's operating budget. 8. The County will, where pos§ible, institute user fees and charges for specialized programs and services in the county based on benefits and/or privileges granted by the County or based on the cost of a particular service. Rates will be established to recover operational as well as capital or debt service costs. 9. The County will regularly (at least every 3 years) review user fee charges and related expenditures to determine if pre-established recovery goals are being met. 10. The County willidentify all inter-governmental aid funding possibilities. However, before applying for or accepting either State or Federal funding, the County will assess the merits of the program as if it were m be funded with local dollars. No grant will be accepted that will incur management and reporting costs greater than the grant. 11. Local tax dollars will not be used to make up for losses of inter-governmental aid without first reviewing the program and its merits as a budgetary increment. 12. The County will attempt to recover all allowable costs - both direct and indirect - associated with the administration and implementation of programs funded through inter, governmental aid. In the case of state and federally mandated programs, the County will atmmpt to obtain full funding for the service from the governmental entity requiring that the service be provided. 5 Why develop Revenue Indicators? Revenue indicators provide information by which a local govemmem may assess the growth, fiexibiliw, diversity and adequacy of its revenue base. These issues are addressed by following indicators contained ia this section: Indicator. Revenues Per Capita Restricted Revenues Intergovernmental Revenues Property Tax Revenues Assessment Ratio User Charge Coverage Revenue Surplus/Shortfalls Descr~vtion: Page Net operating revenues (in constant dollars) divided by County population. 8 Revenues legally restricted to specific purposes as a percentage of total net operating 10 revenues, Revenues received from State and Federal sources as a percanmge of net operating 12 Property tax revenues (ia constant dollars.) 14 Assessment to sales ratios. 16 Revenues from fees and user charges collected as a percentage of expenditures for 17 related services. The difference between revenue estimates and actual revenues received during a 18 fiscal year, as a percentage ofuet operating revenues. How is Albemarle County's "Revenue Health?" Albemarle County enjoys a large, growing revenue base that has enabled it to provide services m citizens without increasing tax rates. Since FY91, real per capita net operating revenues (defined as revenues available for general municipal operations, prior to any inter- fund transfers, and net of revenues collected from the split billing of property taxes and for the revenue sharing agreement with Charlottesville) have increased by 12.2%- faster than the combined effects of inflation and population growth. This increase is due primarily to the 28% increase in real, per capita general property tax revenues that has occurred since FY91 despite reductions in the real property, the personal property and the raachiaery and tools tax rates. Additionally, the County's efforts to meet its stated goals of maintaining sound appraisal procedures to keep property values current, of achieving an annual assessraent ratio of at least 95%, of monitoring taxes for equitable administration md for timely and accurate collections, and for aggressively collecting tax revenues. have contributed to this impressive revenue growth. (Since FYgl, the County's assessment to sales ratios have been increasing, and since FY93, have exceeded both the County's 95% target, and the overall State ratios. Additionally, the results of the annual stales ratio studies have indicated that assessments in the County were both reasonably equitable and progressive.) Additionally, greater than anticipated total revenue receipts for most of this six year period have been used to build the County's financial reserves. The County also maintains a relatively flexible, diversified and stable revenue base that allows for adjnslments to changing conditions, and which protects the County against short-term fluctuations ia any one revenue year. The relative flexibility of the revenue base is illustrated by the fact that restricted operating revenues (i.e., revenues legally earmarked for specific uses) account for only about 20% of the County's total net operating revenues. However, since FY92, restricted operating revenues, as a pementage of total net operating revenues, have increased, particularly to finance General Government operations. Restricted operating revenues now account for nearly 22% of total General Government net operating revenues, up 3.8% fi'om FY92. By contrast, restricted operating revenues, as a percentage Of School Division net operating revenues, have declined by 3.5% since FY91, to their current share of 17.8%. Additionally, the revenue base is diversified. In FY97, local property tax revenues (net of split billing and revenue sharing funds) accounted for about 45.2% of all net operating revenues, while other local taxes provided an additional 25% and State and Federal funds contributed the remaining 29%. However, the County remains relatively dependent on property tax revenues, particularly real estate tax revenues, to finance operations, despite a commitment to reduce this dependency. Since FYgl, net property mx revenues have increased from 39.8% of total net operating revenues to 45.2% in FY97. During the same period, State and Federal funds, as a percentage of total net operating revenues, declined from 33% (FY91 ) to 29.3% (FY97.) This relative decline ia inter-govarmnental revenues has been most pronounced for the School Division, where State and Federal aid has fallen from 38,9% of total School Division operating revenues, to 34.7% (a decline of 4.2%). On the other hand, State and Federal funding has increased slightly for General Government -- rising 6 from 19.9% of total net operating revenues in FY91 to 20.1% in FYg~L As part of maintaining a healthy revenue base, the County also is committed to maintaining adequate user charge coverage. That is, fees and user charges should cover a target amount of the cost of related services provided. However, since FYgl. coverage has declined slightly for both the development deparunents (Inspections, Planning, Zoning, and Engineering - Erosion Control~ and the Department of Parks and Recreation. In FY91, permit and fee revenues offset 42.5% of all development activities, compared to 35.5% in FY97, a decline of 7%. User charges offset 24% of parks activities in FY91, compared to 20% in FY97 - a 4% drop. $1,350 $1,300 $1,250 $1,200 $1,150 $1,100 Revenues er Capita (Constant $, 1990 = 100) 1991 I I I I 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 F'scal Year Net Operating Revenues Exclude Split Billing & Revenue Sharing. 1997 Description: Net operating revenues are defineA as those revenues collected in the general, school, special revenue and debt service funds that are available for general municipal operations, prior to any inter-fund lransfers and net of revenues received fi-om the split billing of properly taxes (in 1991 and 1996) and which go to support the revenue sharing agreement with Charlottesville. Per capita net operating revenues divide total net operating revenues by population to arrive at the mount of total net operating revenues per County resident. Theoretically, as the County's populatiun increases, revenues should increase proportionately and that per capita operating revenues should remain at least constant in real terms. Decreasing levels of per capita revenues may signal possible difficulties in maintaining existing service levels without the addition of new revenue sources, cost cutting measures or effiiency enhancements. Recognizing the importance of a healthy revenue stream to financing operations, the County has committed to: · maintaining a diversified and stable revenue · monitoring all taxes to ensure that they are equitably administered and that collections are timely and aggressively collecting tax revenues -- the annual level of uncollected current property taxes should not exceed 4% unless as a result of conditions beyond the County's control; decreasing the dependency on real estate taxes to finance the County's operating budget. gFarning Trend: Decreasing net operating revenues par capita (in constant dollars.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since 1991, per capita net operating revenues have been on the rise in Albemarle County, increasing fi-om $1,163 in FY91 to $1,304 in FY97 (12.2% .) This increase has occurred largely due to growth in property tax revenues, which have increased by almost 44% ($11.2 million) in real terms since FY91. Moreover, this growth in property tax revenues has occurred despite reductions in the property tax rates. (In FY92, the real property tax rate was reduced from $0.74/$100 to $0.72/$100 of assessed value. The personal property and machinery and tools tax rates also was cut fi-om $4.40/$100 to $4.30/$100 in FY91, followed by another reduction in FY93 to $4.28/$100.) 8 Revenues Per Capita Net County Operating Revenues: 1988 (4.5%) Fecleml Revenues State Revenues Local property Taxes ~ / \ Other Local Revenues Net County Operating Revenues: 1997 (4.7%) Federal Revenues (24.6%) State Revenues (45.4%) Local Property Taxes Other Local Revenues However. increasing net operating revenues par capita masks another important trend: that of an increased reliance on general property taxes and the diminished importance of State and Federal revenues, to Finance County operations. The above pie charts illustrate this; showing the increasing share of total County oparations f'manced by property tax revenues and the declining share of operations financed by State and Fedcral funds since FYg8. This trend has been more pronounced for the School Division than for General Government. Since FY88, local revenues, as a percentage of total School Division operating revenues (excluding Federal/State grant funds) have increased by nearly 10%, while the share of State and Federal funds has declined be the same pereenrage. (State revenues have declined the most. The share of School Division operations fmaueed by State revenues has shrunk by about 9.6% alone since FY88.) By contrast, the share of General Govenunent opemtinns financed by State and Federal revenues has declined by only about 2.9%. 9 Restricted Revenues 24% as % of Net Operating Revenues 22% I 20% 18% 16% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 F'scal Year General Gov't. -e- School Div. -ar Total School Division Net Operating Revenues Include Local Tran~er. Net Operating Revenues Exclude Split Billing & Revenue Sharing. Description: A restricted operating revenue is an operating revenue that is legally earmarked for specific use, as may be required by State law, bond covenants, or grant requiremants. As the percentage of restricted revenues increases, a local government loses its ability to respond to changes in conditions and to meet citizens' needs and demands. Increases in restricted revenues also may indicate an over- dependence on external revenues and signal a future inability to maintain existing service levels. Recognizing the importance of maintaining a flexible revenue base, the County has committad to maintaining a diversified and stable revenue structure. Warning Trend: An increasing amount of restricted operating revenues as a percent of net operating revenues. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Overall, restricted opemt'mg revenues as a pement of total net operating revenues in the County have remained relatively constant between FY91 and FY97, averaging about 19% over the seven year period. However, restricted operating revenues as a share of net General Government operating revenues have increased by about 3.8% since FY91. On the other hand, restricted revenues as a percentage of School Division operating revenues have declined by about 3.5% These divergent tendencies may be attributed to relatively faster growth in State and Federal funding for General Government operations than for School Division operations, since FY9I. (Since FY91, real per capita State and Federal funding for General Government operations has increased by 15% and 35% raspectiveiy. However, the School Division has experienced a decline in real per capita State and Federal funding during the same period, in the amounts of -8,3% and -2.4%, respectively.) The large increases in general government restricted revenues since FY93 are due mainly to a 9.7% increase in restricted Social Service revenues, and 100% growth in recordation fees (which the County began collecting in FY93). However, some of the increase in Social Service revenues since FY96 reflects the re-sWacturing of several large programs from a County-only direct payment to an up-fi'ont payment of the State share to be reimbursed by State revenues.) Moderate Rehabilitation [HUD) and Medicaid funds posted more moderate gnins of 57% and 42%, respectively. These increases are depicted in the chart at the top of the next page. 10 Restricted Revenues $2.500 $2,ooo $1.000 $500 $0 Increase in Selected Restricted Revenues General Government 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Fiscal Year Social Services .~. Recordation Fees HUD - ModRehab -is.- Medicaid However. despite the relative increase in General Government restricted revenues, in many program areas, State and Federal funding assistance has not kept pace with required expenditure increases. Increasingly, local dollars are used to fund the programs and operations of State Constitutional Officers and the Registrar (also a State officer). The following charts exemplify this trend. $800 $600 $4O0 $200 $0 Sources of Funding: Sheriffs Office FY88 F~89 FY90 FY01 FY92 FY03 FY94 FY95 FY96 FYfl7 Rscal Year Comp. Board r--~ Local Sources of Funding: Director of Finance $2.500 $1.000 $500 $0 FY88 P(89 FYg0 FY91 F'Y92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 RscalYear ~Comp. Board rmLocal 11 Intergovernmental Revenues 40% 35% ._= ~ 30% ~_ 25% 2O% 15% I I 1991 1992 as % of Net Operating Revenues I I 1993 1994 Fscal Year I I 1995 1996 .~. General Gov~t. -e- School Division .~. Total School Division Net Opetling Revenueslnclude Local Transfer. Net Operating Revenues Exclude Split BiLling & Revenue Shadng, 1997 Description: Intergovernmental revenues are revenues received from another governmental entity, such as the State or Federal governments. An over-dependence on such revenues may be harmful if the external source withdraws its funding or reduces its share of costs, end the local government must either cut programs or pay for them out of the general fund. Nevertheless, inter-governmental revenues may be an ideal source of financing for federal or state-mandated services or to fund one-time operating costs. The County will attempt to recover all allowable costs associated with the adminislration and implementation of programs funded through intergovernmental aid. The Connty will seek full funding from the State and Federal governments for mandated services. Warning Trend: An increasing amount of inter-governmental revenues as a percentage of net operating revenues. Recognizing the need to minimize dependence on State end Federal funding to finance operations, the County has committed to the following operating budget policies: The County will identify end evaluate all inter- governmental aid funding possibilities end no grants will be accepted that incur management end reporting costs greater then the grant. Local tax dollars will not be used to make up for losses in inter-governmental aid without first reviewing the program end its merits as a budgetary increment. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY91, State and Federal revenues as a percent of overall ne[ operating revenues have declined slightly, from 33% to 29.3%. This general decrease is due mainly to a 4.3% decline in State end Federal funds as a share of School Division operating revenues, which has more than offset a slight (.22%) increase in General Government intergovernmental aid. as a percentage of its net operating revenues. These changes correspond to the general Irends discussed on page 7 of this document. 12 This page is intentionally blank. 13 Property Tax Revenues as % of Net Operating Revenues 309'0 25% 20% 15% 991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 RscalYear 1997 .~. General Gov't. -e- School Division .~. Total School Division Net Operfing Revenueslnclude Local Tran~er. Net Operating Revenues Exclude Split Billing & Revenue Shadng. Description: Gan~ral property taxes are ad valorem taxes based on the assessed value of real and personal property owned by businesses, individuals and public service corporations in thc County. Net general property tax revenues are property tax revenues, net of revenues received fi.om the split billing of property taxes (in 1991 and 1996) and ofthosa revenues that go to support the revenue sharing agreement with Charlottesville. Both real and personal property are assessed every two years at 100% valuation with tax rates being applied per $100 of assessed value. Re~assessments are completed during odd fiscal years on a December -December basis. However. adjusunents to the tax base are not reflected until the following fiscal year. General property tax revenues are derived primarily from real estate, personal property, public service, mobile home and machinery and tools taxes. Since property taxes are heavily relied upon by most local governments to finance operations, a decline or a diminished growth in these revenues may signal coming fiscal difficulties. To ensure an adequate su'eam of personal property mx revenues, and to avoid an over-dependence on these revenues to £mance operations, the County has establlshad the following property tax revenue policies: Reassassmant of real property shall be made every two years. The County will maintain soUnd appraisal procedures to keep property values current. The County's goal is to achieve an annual assessment m sales ratio of at least 95% under current real estate market conditions, when the January 1st assessment is compared to sales in the succeeding calendar year when that year is a re- assessarent year. The annual level of uncollected current property taxes shall not exceed 4%, unless caused by conditions beyond the County's conlrol. To the extent possible, the County will decrease its dependence on real estate taxes to f'mance the County's operating budget. Warning Trend: A decline in net property tax revenues (in const,ln_ t dollars.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since 1991, real general properly tax revenues (net of Split Bilrmg and revenue sharing) have risen steadily, growing fi.om $31.6 million in FY91 to a projected $44.9 million in FY97. Of these, net personal property tax revenues have grown the fastest, increasing by 76.4% in real terms between 1991-97, followed by net real property tax revenues (34.9%). (Continued on next page.) 14 Property Tax Revenues The overall growth in property tax revenues is attributed to increases in the number and purchase value of new vehicles, new construction activity and high reassessmant rotes that have occurred since the early 1990's. Moreover. this growth has occurred despite decreases in the real, personal property and machinery and tools tax rates. In FY92, the real property mx rate was reduced from $0.74 to $0.72/$100 of assessed value, and the personal property and machinery and tools tax rates were reduced from $4.40 to $4.30/$100. These taxes were further reduced to $4.28/$100 in FY93. However, general property mx revenues (net of Split Billing and Revenue Sharing funds) have increased from 39.8% to 45.2% of net operating revenues, indicating an increased reliance on this revenue stream to finance operations, despite the County's established goal of reducing its dependency on these revenues. 15 Assessment Ratios 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% I I I 1990 1991 1992 1993 Fiscal Year ~.Virginia -e- Albemarle 1994 Descriptiom The County's assessment ratio relates assessed property values to the value of new property sold. and is an indicator of sound appraisal procedures to keep property values c~t. Declining assessment ratios raay indicate that property value assessments are not being kept current, result'n~ in lower property tax revenues. To edsure a health stream of property mx revenues, the following revenue policies relating m assessments were established that: Reassessment of real property shall be made every two years The County will maintain sound appraisal procedures to keep property value current. The County's goal is to achieve an annual assessment to sales ratio of 95% under current real estate market conditions. Warning Trend: Declining annual assessment to sales ratios and/or ratios of less than the prescribed minimum (95%.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Between FY91 and FY94 (the latest year for which assessment ratio data is available), the County's annual assessment to sales ratio has averaged 95%, the prescribed minimum, (Since FY93, the County's assessment to sales ratios have exceeded 96%, offsetting the lower ratios in FY91 and FY92, for a four year average of 95%.) Additiunally, the above chart shows that since FY91, County assessment to sales ratios have been increasing, and have State rates. Finally, results of the sales ratio study indicated that assessments in the county were both reasonably eqffltable and progressive. 16 50% User Charge Coverage as % of Total Expenditures for Related Services ~ 40% .o 30% CO 20% 10% I I I I I I t 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 X-Axis .~. Parks & Recreation -e- Development Departments Description: Fees and user charges are revenues collected from permits and privilege fees and for the services of County personnel, "User charge coverage" refers to the extent to which permit, fee and user charges revenues collected offset the cost of providing related services. As developed, this indicator focuses on the two major sources of fees and user charge revenues: development activity and parks and recreation. The majority of permits, fees and license revenues are developmant-related, and offset the activities of the Inspections, Planning, Zoning and Engineering (Erosion Control) departments, Parks and Recreation also collects user charges to offset the cost of its core operations. If the fees and user Charges collected offset all related expenditures, the coverage is 100%. If charges cover only half of these costs, the coverage is 50%. As coverage declines, the burden of financing these operations falls on other revenues to support these services. To maintain adequate user charge coverage, the Board of Supervisors have established that: The County will. wherever possible, institute user fees and charges for specialized programs and services in the County based on benefits and/or privileges granted by the County or based on the cost of a particular service. Rates will be established to recover operational as well as capital or debt service COSTS. The County will regularly (at least every three years) review user fee charges and related expenditures to determine if pre-established recovery goals are be'rog met. Warning Trend: Decreasing revenues from user charges as a percentage of total expenditures for related services. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FYgl, user charge coverage has declined slightly for both the development deparmaents and the Department of Parks and Recreation, although the trendis more prenotmced for development activities. In FY91, permit and fee revenues offset 42.5% of all development activities, compared to 35.5% in FY97, a decline of 7%. User charges offset 24% of parks activities in FY91, compared to 20% in FY97 - a 4% drop. This overall decline in user charge coverage may be an indication that existing fees and user changes are insufficient to cover associated expenditures at the target recovery levels. Data obtained from the Inspections Department indicates that since FY91, building permit activity has increased slightly in the County. Parks and Recreation also reports increased usage of park facilities and in park programs. 17 Revenue Surplus/Shortfalls 6% ~: 4% o% -4% 1991 as a%ofNetOperatingRevenues 1992 1993 1994 1995 RscalYear .~. Gen Gov't. -e- Schools .~. Total Net Operating Revenues Exclude Split Billing & Revenue Sharing. Description: An operating surplus is defined as the excess of revenues actually received at the end of a fiscal year over initial esthnated receipts. An operating shortfall arises when actual revenues received full short of the initial estimates, Major shortfalls that continue year after year can indicate a decrming economy, inefficient collection procedures, or inaccurate estimation techniques. Warning Trend: An increase in revenue shortfalls as a percentage of actual net operating revenues. Obseroed Trend in Albemarle County: With the exception of FYgl and FY92, the Cotm~ has enjoyed higher than anticipated revenue receipts resulting in revenue surpluses. The t~nd is due principally to higher than anticipated general fund revenues which tended to offset revenue shortfalls on the School side. These excess revenues have been used to build reserves for emergency or unanticipated fmancinl needs. Operating deficits have been funded from these reserves. 18 Expenditures Expenditure Indicators What are Expenditures and Why are They Important? Expenditures are a rough measure of a local government?s service output. Generally, the more a local government spends (in constant dollars), the more services it is providing. (Of course, this does not take into account how effective the services are, or how efficiently they are being provided.) Two issues to consider when evaluating expenditure growth are 1 ) whether the government is living within its revenues, and 2) how flexible the government is in its ability to adjust its service levels to changing conditions. What are Albemarle County's Operating Budget Policies? Recognizing the importance of both living within revenues and maintaining expenditure flexibility, the County has established the following operating budget policies as part of its Financial Management Policies: The annual budget will be prepared consistent with guidelines established by the Government Finance Officers Association and will annually seek the GFOA Distinguished Budget Presentation Award. 2. The budget must be structured so that the Board and the public can understand the relationship between revenues, expenditures and the achievement of service objectives. The goal of the County is to fund all recttrring expenditures with recurring revenues and to use non-recurring revenues only for non-recurring expenses. The County will maintain an updated fiscal impact model to assess the impact of new development on the future costs of associated county services. Utilizing thc fiscal impact model, the County will develop and annually update a long range (3-5 year) financial forecasting system, which will include projections of revenues, expenditures, as well as future costs and financing of capital improvements and other projects that are included in the capital budget. When revenue shortfalls are anticipated in a fiscal year, sp~uding during the fiscal year must be reduced sufficiently to offset current year shortfalls. The County will prepare the capital improvement budget in conjunction with the development of the opereting budget, in order to assure that the estimated costs and future impact ora capital project on the operating budget will be considered prior to its inclusion in the CIP. The County will develop and annually update a financial trend monitoring system which will examine fiscal trends from the preceding 5 years. Where possible, trend indicators will be developed and tracked for specific elements of the County's fiscal policy. The County shall establish a Memorandum of Understanding with the School Board regarding the amount ofmmual getlaral fund support received each year, which has curremly been established at approximately 60% of all new available local tax revenues. Available revenues are revenues that can be used for County and School Division operations after uny mcreasas in debt service, capital improvement program funding, City of Charlottesville revenue sharing, and the Board reserve fund have been funded. This guideline will be reviewed annually. 10. The operating budget preparation process is conducted to allow decisions to be made regarding anticipated resource levels and expenditure requirements for the levels and types of servicas to be provided in the upcoming fiscal year. The following 19 11. budget procedures will insure the orderly and equitable appropriation of those resources: Operating budget requests are initiated at the department level within target guidelines set by the County Executive. Priorities of resource allocation of divisions within a deparunent are managed at the department level. In formulating budget requests, priority will be given to maintaining the current level of services. New services will be funded through identification of new resources or reallocation of existing resources. Proposed program expansions above existing service levels must be submitted as a budgetary incremem requiring detailed justification, Every proposed program expansion will be scrutinized on the basis of its relationship to the health, safety and welfare of the community to include analysis of leng term fiscal impacts. Proposed new programs must also be submitted as budgetary increments requiring detailed justification. New programs will be evaluated on the same basis as program expansions to include analysis of long term fiscal impacts. Performance measurement and productivity indicators will be integrated into the budget process as appropriate. 23~e operating budget is approved and appropriated by the County Board of Supervisors at the Department level. Total expenditures cannot exceed total appropriations of any department within the General Fund. Changes to the approved operating budget during the fiscal year can be accomplished in any of the following ways: Transfers between Divisions and line-item expenditures within a Department are approved by the Director of Finance Transfers between expenditure accounts in different departments are approved by the Board of Supervisors. Encumbered funds for active purchase orders will be carried forward into the next fiscal year with the approval of the Board of Supervisors. The County Executive will require monthly budget reports, monthly financial statements, and annual financial reports. The Board of Supervisors will adopt the budget no later than April 30. Why Develop Expenditure Indicators? By developing and tracking evaluating expenditure growth and flexibility indicators over time, the County is able to determine the extent m which it has been able to live within its revenues, and to adjust service levels to changing conditions. The two indicators included in this section relate to expenditure growth, and to assessing how well Albemarle has been able to live within its revenues. Other indicators of expenditure flexibility ~ not presented here. due to difficulties in collecting data on fixed costs and fringe benefit expenditures. The expenditure indicators included in this section are: Indicator Description Expenditures Per Capita Total net operating expenditures per County resident. Employees Per Capita Total municipal employees per County resident. Page 22 24 20 How is Albemarle Coun~d's Expenditure Health? Since FY91, real per cap~ta net operating expenditures (net of Split Billing and Revenue Sharing costs) have increased. However_ gr~wthinrealpercapitanet~peratingexpendimresgenera~yhaskeptpaeawithresidents~abi~ityr~pay. BetweenFYgl andFY97. per capita net operating expenditures (in constant dollars) are projected m increase by 12.4% - a rate slightly less than the anticipated 14.5% growah in real personal incomes per capita for residents of the Charlottesville - Albemarle area. However, expenditure growth has not occurred uniformly across all sectors of local government: real per capita General Government expenditures have grown faster than real pcr caplta expenditares on the Schonls. BetweenFY91 andFY97, real per capita net operating expenditures on School needs increased by 6.3%, while rea[ per capita expenditures on General Government programs grew by 28.9%. (This difference becomes slightly less pronounced when looking only at expenditures for operatinns -- net of debt service, capita/outlay and grant fund expenditures. During this period, real per capita expenditm-es on School operations increased by 2.7%, compared to 19.2% for General Government.) Differences in the relative growth rates of real per capita net operating expenditures basically reflects the impact of differential growth rates in State and Federal funding fur School Division and General Government operations. In the Schodi Division, the 8.2% decline in real per capita State and Federal funding assistance since FYgl has offset increases in real per capita debt service (53.7%), the General Fund transfer to the School capital budget (100%), and the operating I~msfcr to the Schools (13.9%). By contrast, real per capita funding from the State and Federal governments for General Government increased by 33% between FYgl and FY97. Another indicator of total expenditures per capita is total employees per capita, since personnel costs (salaries and fringe) are a major portion of a local government's operating budget. Since FY91, total municipal employees per capita (measured in terms of Full Time Equivalent positions, or "FTE's"), have grown from 24.7 in FY91 to 28.6 in FY97 -- an increase of 15.6%. Most of this growth is due to increases in the number of School Division employees (including teachers, cctitral office staff, and other employees.) Between FY9~andFY97~t~talpercapitaSch~~~DivisiunFTE'srosefr~mI9.9to23.3~anincrease~f~7.4%. By enntrast, per capita General Government FTE's grew by only 8%, from 4.9 to 5.3. (Moreover, almost half of this 8% growth rate was due to increases in the number of public safety persormal per capl. ta~) The fact that growth in the totul number of employees per capita has exceeded the overall increase in net Coon~y opcrating expenditures sinceFY91 indicates that personnel costs ~salatyand fi'inge)are adriving force behind increases in net operating expenditures. 21 Expenditures Per Capita 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Fiscal Y ear ma Gen, Gov't- No Fub Sar ~ Gert Gov't, E~ Schools ~ Total Net Operating Expenditures exclude Split Billing and Revenue Sharing costs, Debt Service. Capital Outlay. and Grant Fund Expenditures are included. Description~ Net operating expenditures are expenditures for operations in the general, debt service and special revenue funds, net of split billing and revenue sharing costs. Net operating expenditures per capita are the ratio of total net operating expenditures to population -- giving total net operating expenditures per County resident. Increasing net operating expenditures per capita (in constant dollars) may indicate that the cost of providing services is out pacing the community's ability to pay, especially if spending ~s mcreasing faster than residents' collective real incomes. Warning Trend: Increasing net operating expenditures per capita (in constant dollars.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Total net operating expenditures per capita (In constant dollars) have increased by about 12.4% since FY91. This growth in real per capita expenditures has kept pace with increases in real per capita personal incomes in the area. Since FY91, real per capita personal incomes in Charlottesville and Albemarle have grown by approximately I4.5% (assuming a 1.73% real growth rate for FY96 and FY9~. based on trend infonnatinn from the early 1990%) Despite this overall increase, per capita expenditure growth has not occurred uniformly between General Government and the School Division, Since FY91, real per capita expenditures in the School Division have grown much more slowly than real per capita General Government expenditures. Between FY91 and FY97, real per capita expenditures on School needs increased by 6.3%. However, real per capita expenditures on General Government programs increased by 28.9%. (This difference becomes slightly less pronounced when looking only at expenditures on operations-- net of debt service and capital outlay. During this period, real per capita expenditures on School operations increased by 2.7%, compared to 19.2% for General Government.) The chart below illustrates the relatively rapid growth in general govemmem operating expenditures relative to school division operating expenditures. Per Capita Net Operating Expenditures 22 Expenditures Per Capita Differences in the relative growth rates of real per capita net operating expenditures are basically due to the impact of differential growth rates in State and Federal funding for School Division and General Govemmant operations. In the School Division, the 8.2% decline in real per c~ita assistance from the State and Federal Govemmants has offset local dollar Increases real per capita debt service (53.7%), the General Fund lransfer to the School CIP [100%), and the operating transfer to the Schools (13.9%). By contrast, real per capita funding from the State and Federal government for General Government has increased by 33% since FYgl. The fastest growing sectors of General Government have been public safety and human services, where real per capita expenditures grew by 24.9% and 34.7% between FY91 and FY97. respectively, Additionally, the per capita transfer to general government CIP projects has increased by 49.3%. 23 mployees Per Capita 4O 3O 20 10 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Fscal Year General Gov't. ~ Schools 1997 Descriptior~~ Employees per capita relates total municipal employees to population, for a measure of the total number o£mtmicipal employees serving each County resident. The number of municipal employees is measured by the number of Full-Time Equivalent positions (FTE's), which converts part-time positions pm-time positions into the decimal equivalent of a full-time position based on 2,080 hours worked per year. A full-time employee working 2.0g0 hours/year is counted as I FTE. A part-time employee work'mg 1,040 hours per year is counted as .5 FTE. Changes in the number of employees per capita is a good in measure of changes in total expenditures per capita, since persouneI costs (salaries and fxinge) are a major portion of a local government's operating budget. Warning Trend: Increasing number of municipal employees (in FTE's) per capitg. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY91, the number of municipal employees per capita has grown by 3.85 FTE's, or 15.6%. Most of this increase is due to the relative growth in the number of School Division employees (including teachers, central office staff, and other School Division employees.) Since FY91, the number of per capita School Division employees has increased form 19.9 in FYgl to 23.3 in FY97 - - an increase of 17.4%. By conuast, the number of per capita general government employees grew fi'om 4,9 FTE to 5.3 FTE -~ an increase of only 8%. (Growth in public safety personnel such as police officers and fire/rescne personnel alone accounted for almos~ half of this increase -- about 3.4%.) 24 Operating Position Operating Position Indicators What is "Operating Position" and Why is it Important? The term "operating position" refers to a government's ability 1 ) to balance its budget on an annual basis, 2) to maintain reserves for emergencies and 3) m ensure sufficient liquidity to pay all of its bills on time. Although Albemarle County is required by law to set a balanced budget, it is rare that current expenditures exactly equal current revenues during the year. Usually, a local government generates either an operating deficit or surplus, An operating defici! occurs when current expenditures exceed revenues. If revenues exceed expenditures, an operating surplus arises. However, operating re lt' " '" " " deficits or surpluses do not necessarily sa m budget deficits or budget sttrplusas. If expenditures exceed revenues, reserves (or fund balances) from prior years arc used to cover the difference and balance the budget. Operating surpluses generally increase fund balances. In fact, operating deficits or surpluses may be created intentionally, m achieve a particular policy goal, or unintentionally, due to the difficult task of predicting revenues and expenditures exactly. Reserves provide a financial cushion against unexpected events such as the loss of a revenue source, an economic downturn. unanticipated operating expenditures due to a natural disaster (for example), unexpected capital expenditures or other non-reearring expenditures, or an uneven cash flow. Reserves are built through accumulating operating surpluses and may be budgeted in a contingency a¢counk or carried as part of one or more fund balances. Albemarle County maintains both "designated" and "undesignated" fund balances. Designated fund balances are reserves set aside for a particular use - such as capital or inventory. Undesignated fund balances are available for general appropriation. Liquidity refers to cash inflow and ouffiow. Since governments often receive their revenues in large installments and at infrequent intervals during the year, revenues may be received before they are actually needed to be spent, resulting in a positive liquidity or cash flow position. Excess liquidity, or "cash reserves" also provide a valuable cushion against financial pressures. What are Albemarle's Fund Balance or "Reserve" Policies? Recognizing the importance of operating position to overall f'mancial condition, Albemarle County has established the following fund balance (reserve) policies as part of its Financial Management Policies: Thc County does not intend, as a common practice, to usc Genaral Fund equity (Undesignated Fund Balance) to fmence current operations. The Fund balance is built over years from savings to provide the County with working capital to enable it to finance unforeseen emergencies without borrowing. The County will maintain a fund balance for cash liquidity purposes that will provide sufficient cash flow to minimize the possibility of short term tax anticipation borrowing. The undesignated fund balance, plus the designation for fiscal cash liquidity purposes, at the close of each fiscal year should be equal to no less than 10% of the County's total operating budget. Funds in cxeass of the required undesignated fund balance may be considered to supplement "pay as you go" capital expenditures or as additions to the fund balance. 25 Why Develop Operating Position Indicators? By developing and monitoring indicators of the operating position, the County can assess current mvanues are sufficient to support current operations, whether adequate reserves are maintained for emerganc~es, and whether the government has sufficient liquidity, to pay all of its bills on time. The following operating position indicators are contained in this section: Indicator Description Page Operating DeficiffSurplus The difference between annual revenues and expenditures, as a percentage of net operating revenues. 27 Unreserved Fund Balances Unreserved fund balances as a percentage of net operating revenues. 28 Liquidity Cash and short-term investments as a percentage of current liabilities. 29 How is Albemarle County's Operating Position? Albemarle County's operating position is quite favorable. Between FY91 and FY95, the County has run end-of-year operating surpluses, indicating that current revenues have been sufficient to support current operations. In addition, 'surplus' revenues have provided a steady source of funds to be held in reserve against unanticipated events, emergencies, unexpected capital or other non- recurring expenditures, and/or uneven cash flow. (The operating deficit budgeted for FY97 reflects the use of fund balance and carry-over to balance the budget. The actual experience of the County in FY97 may be that of an operating surplus.) Correspondingly, fund balances have been sizeable. BetweanFY91 andFY95, undesignated fund balences exceeded the required minimum of 10% of total net operating revenues, rising steadily to a high of almost 17% of total net operating revenues in FY95. Finally, the cash position of the County is quite favorable. Between FY91 and FY95, the County held more than twice the amount of cash and short-term investments then it had incurred in current liabilities b~ the end of each year, demonstrating sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations, and providing substantial end-of-year cash reserves. 26 Operating Surplus/Deficit 3% 2% 1% 0% I 1991 as % of Net Operating Revenues i I I 1992 1993 1994 Rscal Year Net Operating Revenuesexclude Split Billing and Revenue Shadng revenues I 1995 Description: An operating deficit occurs when the government is spending more than it is earning, i.e., when current expenditures exceed revenues. An operating surplus occurs when current revenues exceed expenditures. Operating deficits are usually funded with reserves (fund balances) from prior years. Operating surpluses generally build up reserves. This indicator depicts operating deficits or surpluses as a percentage of net operating revenues. Although an operating budget surplus or deficit in any one year may be the result of a policy goal aimed at building reserves, or be unintentional, due to inaccurate estimates, frequent operating deficits may indicate that current revenues are not sufficient to support current expenditures and that serious fiscal difficulties lie abeacL Warning Trend: Increasing operating deficits as a percentage of net operating Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Between FY91 and FY95, the County earned more in current revenues each year than it actually spent on operations; generating an annual operating surplus. These "surplus" revenues have been used to build reserves, providing an effective cushion against emergencies or unexpected events. The FY97 adopted operating revenues include the budgeted useof$501,495in Genaral Fund balence for School needs, and $ I01,500 in School Fund carry-over. However, if the past is any indicator of future n'ends, the County may well end the year with an operating surplus instead ora deficit. 27 Unreserved Fund Balances 1B% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% as % of Net Operating Revenues 13.07% Minimum [10%) -· $ · · I 1991 I I I, 1992 1993 1994 Fiscal Year Net Operating Revenuesexclude Split Billing and Revenue Sharing revenues 16.90o/ I 1995 Description: Positive fund balances may be thought of as "reserves," or a financial cushion against emergencies. Some fund balances are "designated" (reserved) for uses such or for capital projects. "Unreserved" fund balance is fund balance that is available for general appropriation. The total amount of unreserved fund balances is an indicator of a local government's ability to withstand financial emergencies or finance unforseen or one-time expenses. The size of a government's fund balances also may affect its ability to aceamulate funds for capital purchases without having to borrow. An unplanned decline in fund balances may indicate that the government wiI! be unable to meet a future need. Albemarle County Financial Policies state that the amount of undesignated fund balance, plus the designation for fiscal cash liquidity purposes, should be no less than 10% of the County's total operating budget at the close of each fiscal year. Declining unreserved fund balances as a pementage of net operafmg revenues; Unreserved fund balances of less than 10% of the County's total operating budget. Obseroed Trend in Albemarle Count: Since FY91, undesignated fund balances as a pement et'total ncr operating revenues, have grown steadily, increasing from 13.1% in FY91 to 16.9% in F~95. (The large, 2.2% increase in FY94 corresponds to the large operating surplus that also occurred in that ftscal year.) Additionally, between FY91 and FY95, unreserved fund balances exceeded the required minimum of 10% of net operating revenues, as prescribed by the County's Financial Policies. (See above chart.) These large fund balances have provided the County with a sizeable "cushion" against emergency, unanticipated, or one- time costs. Additionally, funds in excess of the required mimmum have been used to fmanee "pay-as-you-go" capital expend'rmras. Warning Trend: 28 Liquidity 40O% 350% I 300% 250% Cash & Short-Term Investments as % of Current Liabilities 200% '1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Fiscal Year Description: "Liquidity" is synonymous with cash position. Cash position, which includes cash on hand, cash in the bank, and other assets easily converted to cash, determines a government's ability to pay its short term obligations, The immediate effect of insufficiant liquidity is insolvency-- the inability to pay bills, Low or declining liquidity may indicate that a government has over-extended itself in the long nm. To measure liquidity, a standard measure of liquidity called the "quick ratio" is used. It takes cash, short-term investments and accounts receivable as a percentage of current liabilities (defined as short-term debt, ctrrrent portion of long-term debt. accounts payable, accrued and other liabilities.) If the quick ratio is less than one, the entity is facing liquidity problems. If it is greater than one. the entity has cash reserves (has excess liquidity.) Warning Trend: 'A decreasing amount of cash and short-term investments as a percentage of current liabilities, Observed Trend in Albemarle Count?d: Between FY91 and FY95, Albemarle County enjcyed a very favorable year-and cash position. Since FY91, the County has held more than twice the amount of cash and short-term investments as current liabilities at the end of each fiscal year. Between FY91 and FY95, the quick ratio rose fi.om 211% in FYgl to 270% in FY95. These percentages indicate a healthy amount of cash reserves for use as a cushion against unexpected financial pressures. 29 Debt & Unfunded Liabilities Debt & Unfunded Liability Indicators What are Debt and Unfunded Liabilities and Why are They Important? Debt: When a government borrows money, ir incurs debt. Debt can be an effective way to finance capital improvements or even out short- term revenue flows, but ks misuse can cause serious financial problems. Generally, there are two types of debt: short and long-term debt. In short-term borrowing, a government incurs a debt that it must repay within twelve months. Governments often use short-term debt to finance uneven cash flows. However, if revenue shortfalls or over-expanditures prevent payment of the short-term debt during the year in which it was borrowed, this debt may be "rolled over" into the next year. In this event, the government may choose to repay the loan and then re-borrow the money, or To pay only the interest un the loan end not the principal. This practice effectively tums short-term debt into long-term debt and, if it continues over a number of years, and the amount of outstanding debt increases, may be an indication that debt is being used to finance operating deficits. Long-term debt is debt with a maturity of more than one year after the date of issuance. The most common forms of long-term debt are general obligation, special assessment and revenue bonds. Gencral Obligation bonds are bonds backed by the full faith, credit end taxing power of the government. Revenue bonds are backed only by the revenues fi-om a specific enterprise or project, such as a hospital or toll-rend. Special assessment bonds are bonds financed by special charges levied on specific properties within a special assessment disirict. Under ideal circumstances, a local government's debt: 1) should be proportional to the size and the rate of growth of the tax base; 2) should not extend past the useful life of the facilities that it finances; 3) should not be used to balance the operating budget; 4) should nor require re-payment schedules that place excessive burdens on operating expenditures, end 5) should not be so high as to jeopardize a government's credit rating. Even a temporary inability to repay debt can damage a government's credit rating, which in mm can increase the cost of futare borrowing or worse. Unfunded Liabilities: Unfunded liabilities are similar to long-term debt in that they represent a legal commiunent to pay at some point in the future. However, an unfunded liability is simply a liability that has been incurred during the current or a prior year, which does not have to be paid until a furore year, and for which reserves have not been set aside. Two major types of tmfundad liabilities are pension liability end employee leave (uncompensated absences) liability. Unfunded liabilities have the potential to significantly effect a government's financial condition because they usually don't show up in ordinary financial records in a way that makes their impact easy m assess, and because they tend to accumulate slowly overtime. These types of liabilities may grow unnoticed until they create sever problems. What are Albemarle County's Debt Policies? Recognizing the impommce of underlying debt to overall financial condition, Albemarle County has established a number of debt- related financial policies: 1. The County will not fund current operations from the proceeds of borrowed funds. 2. The County will manage its financial resources in a way that prevents borrowing to meet working capital needs. 3. The County will confine long-term borrowing and capital leases to capital improvements or projects that cannot be financed by current revenues. 31 5. 6. 7. To the extent feesinle, any year that the debt service payment falls below its current level, those savings will be used to fmence one-time capital needs. When the County finances capital improvements or other projects through bonds or capital leases, it will repay the debt within a period not to exceed the expected useful life of the projects. The County's debt offering documents will provide full and complete public disclosure of fman¢ial condition and opemung results and other pertinent credit information in compliance with municipal finance industry standards for similar issues. Recognizing the importance of underlying debt to its overall financial condition, the County will set target debt ratios, which will be calculated annually and included in the annual review of fiscal l~ends: · Net Debt per capita should remain under $1.000. · Net Debt as a pementage of the estimated market value of taxable property should not exceed 2%. · The ratio of debt service expenditures to General Fund revenues should not exceed 10%. Wind Develop Debt and Unfunded Liability Indicators? By developing and.monitoring indicators of debt and unfunded liabilities, the County can assess whether current debt levels are affordable given existing resource levels, and whether unfunded liabilities are at a manageable level. The debt indicators included in this section are: Indicator Description Page Current Liabilities Current liabilities as a percentage of net operating revenues. 34 Long-Term Debt Long-term debt as a percentage of assessed valuation 35 Per Capita Long-Term Debt Long-term debt per County resident. 36 Defu Service Net direct debt service as a percentage of General Fund net operating revenues. 37 The unfunded liability indicator included in this section is: Indicator Description Page Accumulated Leave The dollar amount of accumulated (unpaid) employee vacation and sick leave, per 38 employee, Other unfunded liability indicators relating to pension liability have not been developed. What is Albemarle County's Debt and Unfunded Liability Profile? Albemarle County has a relatively henlthy debt profile. Between FY91 and FY95, currant liabilities, as a percent of net operating revenues, declined -- a signal that the County has been able to finance its short-term obligations from current revenues instead of borrowed funds. (Of course, short-term debt may be used to 'smooth' uneven cash flows during the year.) Additionally, long-term debt has stayed within tho County's ability to pay: both long-term debt and the associated debt service payments have remained within the target ratios set in fue Financial Policies. Since FYgl. net direct bonded long-term debt has amounted to less than one percent of the estimated market value of taxable property - well below the 2% maximum established by the Board of Supervisors. 32 (In FY97, the ratio of long-term debt to assessed valuation is .79%)~ Additionally, net long-t~'m debt per capita has rema'med below the $1,000 maximum. (Per capita long term debt in FY9? is $655.) Finally, the ratio of debt service expenditures to net General Fund revenues has not exceeded the 10% cap. (In FY97, debt service represents 8.5% of net Gencra~ Fund revenues.) However, it is clear that long-term debt levels are increasing. Based on future projects approved as part ofthe FY 96/97 - 00/0! Capital Improvement Plan, long-term debt, as a percentage of assessed valuation, ~s expected to grow by .2% to .97% in FY0 I. Per capita net direct bonded long-term debt is projected to rise to $943. Debt Service, as a percentage of net General Fond revenues is projected to grow to a high of 9.2% in FY99. Although debt and debt service costs are projected to remain within the target ratios, care must be exercised when designing future capital plans, to avoid incurring debt beyond that which is manageable, given the projected tax base and existing tax rates. However, unlike per capita long-term debt, the level of accumulated uncompensated absences par employee (an unfunded liability for the County) has decreased since FY91. Between FY91 and FY95, the total value of unused vacation and sick leave per FTE decIined from $777 in FY91 to $703 in FY95. Most of this decrease was due to a change in personnel policy which no longer permitted employees to receive payment for unused sick leave upon termination or retirement. 33 8.2% ~ 8.0% "~ 7.8% 0 7.6% 7.4% as % of Net Operating Revenue I 1991 I I 1992 1993 1994 RscalYear Net Operating Revenues Exclude Split Billing and Revenue Sharing revenues ! 1995 Descriptiom Current liabilities are defined as the sum of all liabilities due at the end of the year, including short-term debt, current portion of long-term debt, all accounts payable, accrued liabilities and other current liabilities. The ratio of current liabilities to net operating revenues is an unportant indicator of potential liquidity and future operating budget health. Although short-term debt may be used to 'smooth' uneven cash flows, an increasing amount of short- term debt outstanding at the end of successive years may signal liquidity problems, deficit spending or both. Warning Trend: Increasing current liabilities at thc end of the year as a p~rcentage of net operating revenues. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY91, the ratio of current liabilities to net operating revenues have fallen, despite slight upswings in FY92 and FY95. In FYgl, current liabilities as a percentage of net operating revenues were 8%. By FY97, this percentage had dropped to 7.60/0. 34 Long-Term Debt 2.50% Net Direct Bonded Long-Term Debt as % of Assessed Valuation (School Bonds & Literary Fund Loans) 2.00% 0.50% Debt to A~e~sed Value C~p (2%) 0.94% 0.93% 0.96% 0.97% 199l 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Fiscal Year Estimated Mariet Valuesfor FY 96 - 0t Based on projected 5% Increase. Description: Net direct debt is bonded debt for which the local government has pledged its full faith and credit, net of any self-supporting debt, i.e., bonded debt that the government has pledged to repay from a source other than general tax revenues. An increase in net direct bonded debt as a percentage of assessed valuation can signal a diminishing ab'flity to repay on the part of the government - especially for localities such as Albemarle that depend heavily on property tax revenues to repay its debts. Recognizing the importance of underlying debt to its overall financial condition, Albemarle County requires that net long- term debt not exceed 2% of the estimated market value of taxable property. Warning Trend: An increasing amount of net direct bonded long-term debt as a percentage of assessed valuation; a ratio of debt to assessed o valuation in excess of 2 Observed Trend in Albemarle Countnj: Between FY91 and FY97, long-term debt as a percentage of th0 estimated market value of taxable property has remained relatively constant at about .79% (average) -- well below the 2% maximum. Based on projects approved as part of the County's FY 96/97 00/01 Capital Improvement Program. the ratio of long-term debt to assessed value is expected to rise hy .18% to .97% in FY01. Almost all of this increase is due to projected borrowing for the new Monticello High School in FY98. However, despite this increase, the ratio of debt to assessed valuation is expected to remain well below the 2% cap. 35, Per Capita Long-Term Debt $1,200 Maximum Long-Term Debt Per Capita ($1,000) $800 $600 5 $400 ~ $200 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Fiscal Year Description: Another indicator of a government's ability to repay its long- term debt is the ratio of net direct bonded lung-term debt to population, i.e., the amount of net lung-term debt per capita. Under ideal circumstances, the level of net debt per capita should remain constant over time, since, as the population increases, capital needs end, therefore, long-term debt should increase proporQunataly. If debt levels are increasing faster than the population is growing, the level ofleng-term debt per person is increasing. If, on thc other hand, population is growing faster than long-term debt levels, per capita debt would be falling. Increasing levals of per capita long-turin debt may be a signal that debt levels are reaching or exceeding the government's ability to pay. Recognizing thc importance of underlying debt to its overall f'mancial condition, Albemarle County has established that net per capita debt should remain under $1,000. Warning Trend: An increasing level of net direct bonded long-term debt per capita; per capita long-term debt in excess of $1,000. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY91, per capita net direct bonded lung-term debt has increased, although the level of debt per capita has remained below the $1,000 maximum. In FY91, per capita long~term debt was $363. By FY97, the level of long-term debt per capita had grown to $655 (un increase of 80.4%.) The large increases in per capita debt during FY92 and FY94 correspond to the construction of Agnor-Hurt Elementary and Sutherland Middle Schools. Based un the new capital projects approved as part of the FY 1996/97 - 2000/01 Capital Improvement Program, the level of per capita debt is expected to continue to rise through the end of the century -- increasing by 44% to approximately $943 in FY01. Most of this increase is due to borrowing for the new Monticello High School in FY98. However. as the above graph reveals, per capita debt is projected to remain below the $1,000 cap established in the f'mencial policies. 36 Debt Service 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% as % of Net General Fund Revenues Debt Service Maximum (10%) ~'-,,,9.1% 9.2% 9.1% 7.1~Z' 1991 1992 I I I I I I I I I 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Rscal Year Net General Fund revenuesexclude Split Billing and Revenue Shadng receipt& Descriptiom Debt Service is thc amount of principal and interest that a local government must pay each year on its net direct bonded long-term debt. Debt service is a fixed cost paid out of the operating budget. Increasing debt service payments add to the government's obligations, thereby reducing expenditure flexibility. They also may indicate excessive debt or financial strain on the pan of the government, since debt service is a major component of a local government's fixed costs. Recognizing the importance of underlying debt to its overall financial condition. Albemarle County has established that the ratio of debt service expenditures to General Fund revenues should not exceed 10%. Warning Trend: An increasing net direct debt service as a percentage of net operating revenues; proportional debt service in excess of 10% of General Fund revenues. Observed Trend in Albemarle. County: Between FYgl and FY97. debt service payments as a percentage of net operating revenues, have increased, although they have remained below the 10% cap established in the Financial Policies. In FYgl, debt service amountedto approximately 6.5% of General Fund nec operating revenues. By FY97, debt service payments had risen to a high of 9.6% in FY95, and then settled down again to 8.5% in FY97. Based on projects approved as part of the County's FY 96/97 - 00/01 Capital Improvement Program, debt service is expected to again rise to a high of 9~2% of General Fund net operating revenues in FY99, and then fall to a new level of 8.6% by FY01. The large increases in debt service in FY93 and FY95, and the large projected increase in FY99 correspond to additional leng-term debt incurred for the construction of the Agnor- Hurt Elementary, Sutherland Middle and the new Monticello High Schools, respectively. 37 Accumulated Employee Leave 800 780 760 740 720 700 680 ,777 1991 ~ $710 $703 1992 1993 1994 1995 Fiscal Year Description: Accumulated employee leave represents the total unused vacation and sick leave of all County employees at the end of each fiscal year. Although uncompensated absences initially represent the oppommity cost of work not having been completed, these benefits become a real cost when paid during employment or upon termination or retirement. (Unlike unused vacation days, however, unused sick leave balances are forfeited at the end of employment and may not be paid om.) This indicator divides the total constant dollar value of cumulative, uncompensated absences by the number of Full- Time Equivalent positions ("FTE's") to get the total value of unused vacation and sick leave per full-time employee. Increasing leave balances per capita may indicate that vacation and sick policies are conltibuting m an excessive increase in unfunded liability. Warning Trend: An increasing cost ofunnsed vacation and sick leave days per FTE (in constant dollars.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Between FY91 and FY95, the total constant dollar value of unused vacation and sick leave days per employee (FTE) declined from $777 in FY91 to $703 in FY97. The majority of this decFme occurred between FY91 and FY92, when the constant dollar value of total uncompensated absences per FTE dropped from $777 to $687, reflecting a change in parsounel policy that no longer permacal employees to receive payment for unused sick leave upon retirement or termination. 38 Capital Plant [ Capital Plant Indicators What is "Capital Plant" and Why is it Important? Most ora local government's wealth is invested in its physical assets or "capital plant" - slreets, buildings, land, utility networks, and/or equipment. Deferring maintenance of such assets can create safety hazards and potential liability risks, can result in a loss of operating efficiency, can depress property values, can increase the cost of repairs (particularly if maintenance of a project has been delayed for so long ~at it must be replaced entirely), and can create the potential for a huge future financial obligation ifa backlog of maintanance and repair needs persists. Additionally, the ara'activeness of the community as a place to live or to do business may decline. What are Albemarle County's Capital Budget and Asset Maintenance, Replacement and Improvement Policies? Capital Budget Policie~ 1. The County will approve an annual capital budget in accordance with an adopted Capital Improvements Program. 2. The Board of Supervisors will accept recommendations fi-om the Planning Commission for the five-year Capital Improvements Program that are consistent with identified needs in the adopted Comprehensive Plan and Capital Facilities Plan. 3. The County will coordinate the development of the capital budget with the development of the operating budget so that future operating costs, including annual debt service, associated with new capital projects will be projected and included in operating budget forecasts. 4. Emphasis will continue to be placed upon a viable level of"pay-as-yun-go" capital construction to fulfill needs in a Board approved Capital Improvement Program. 5. The County believes in funding a significant portion of capital improvements on a cash basis and will, therefore, increase ineremantally the percentage of its capital improvements financed by current revenues. The County's goal will be to dedicate a minimum of 3% of the annual General Fund revenues allocated to the County's operating budget to the Capital Improvement Program. 6. Financing plans for the five-year capital program will be developed based upon a five-year forecast of revenues and expenditures coordinated by a capital improvements technical management team. 7. The CoUnty will begin to inventory capital facilities and estimate remaining nseful life and replacement costs. 8. Upon completion of any capital project, remain'rog appropriated funds in that project will be returned to the undesignated capital project fund. Any transfer of remaining funds fi-om one project to another must be approved by the Board of Supervisors. 9. The County will develop a Memorandum of Understanding with the School Board regarding the developrsant and coordination of the County's Capital Improvement Program, which will address the following areas: a) plan for required cap/Iai improvements; b) debt ratio targets; c) debt issuance schedules. Asset Maintenance, Replacement and Enhancement Polices: The County will maintain a system for maintenance, replacement and enhancement of the County's and School Divisiun's physical plant. This system will protect the County's capital investment and minimize future maintenance and replacement costs: 1. The operating budget will provide for minor and preventive maintenance. Within the Capital Improvement Program, the County will maintain a Capital Plant and Equipment Maintenance/Replacemant Schedule, which will provide a five-year estimate of the funds necessary to provide for the structural, site, major machanical/electrical rehabilitation or replacement to the County and School physical plant requiring a total expenditure of $10,000 or more with a useful life often years or more. To provide for the adequate maintenance of the County's capital plant and equipmem, the County intends to increase the percentage of maintenance/repair and replacement capital improvements financed with current revenues. (Unofficially, the ~rgct amount of increase is $500,000 after every re-assessment year.) Why Develop Capital Plant Indicators? Capital plant indicators are important for assessing how well the capital assets of a community are maintained. The indicators included in this section show the relative amount of capital outlay devoted to maintaining and/or adding to the existing capital stock. as well as the operating budget expanditores devoted to School Division capital and debt service, relative to total expenditures on School needs. The capital plant indicators include in this section are: Indicator Description Page Capital Outlay Amount of capital outlay fi.om the operating funds as a percent of General Fund net 41 operating revenues. Expenditures on School Deb; Total expenditures on School Division debt and capital needs, relative to total and Capital Needs expenditures on Schools. 42 What is Albemarle County's Capital Plant Profile? Albemarle County is committed to maintaining, replacing, and enhancing its physical plant both to protect its capital investments and to minimize futore maintenance and repair costs. Part of this commitment includes increased funding for maintenance/repair projects fi.om current revenues, as opposed to borrowed funds. Since FY gl, the level of capital outlay, as a percentage of General Fund operating revenues (net of revenue sharing revenues), has increased dramatically, from 1,9% to 3.3% in FY97. With the addition of the one-time proceeds fi.om the split billing of personal property taxes in FY91 and real property taxes in FY96, all of which has been earmarked for School capital needs, capital outlay jumps to 17.6°/6 of General Fund net operating revenues in FY97. The County's commitment to protecting and enhancing its physical plant also is illustrated by the ongoing operating cost of providing for School Division capital needs, which typically constitutathelargestportionofannanlcapitalbudgets. BetweenFY91 andFY97, debt service payments on the School Division's long-term debt obligations rose from ~3,4 million in FYgl to 5.8 million in FY97 (in 1990 constunt dollars) -- an increase of72%. Capital untlay also inereased significantly. BetweenFY91 andFY97, theopemting budget transfer to the School capital fund increased by 100% to nearly $571,454, (in 1990 constant dollars and net of split billing funds for School capital projects.) With the addition of split billing revenues for Scimol capital projects in FY97, the level of capital outlay jumped to $14.6 million in FY97. Togcther, expenditures on debt service and capital untlay, as a percantage of total expenditures on Schools, have increased fi.om 5.8% in FY91 to 7.7°/6 in FY97 (or 24.6% with split billing in FY97.) 40 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% Capital Outlay as % of Net General Fund Revenues 3.6% / ~'"~2.9% 3.0% 2.0% ~ :.9% f I I I t I I I I I I I 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Fiscal Year Net General Fund operating revenues exclude Split Billing & Revenue Sharing receipt[ Description: "Capital outlay" is defined as operating budget funds used for capital expenditures. These funds are mainly used to finance repair and maintenance expenditures on existing assets with current revenues instead of borrowed funds, although capital outlay also may be used to help f'mance the purchase or construction of new facilities or equipment. This indicator relates capital outlay (net of Split Billing funds) to net General Fund net operating mvanues. Under ideal circumstances, this ratio should remain constant over tune, However, a persistent decline (of three or more years) can indicate that capital needs are being deferred, which can result in the use of inefficient or obsolete equipment. Recogniz'mg the importance of funding capital improvements on a cash basis, particularly maintenance end replacement projects, Albemarle County's Financial Policies establish that: The County will dedicate a minimum of 3% of the annual General Fund revenues allocated to the County's operating budget to the Capital Improvement Program (CIP); and that The County will increase the percentage of maintenance/repair and replacement capital improvements financed with current revenues. Warning Trend: A persistent decline in capital outlay from the General Fund as a percentage of net General Fund operating revenues; Capital outlay of less than 3% of General Fund operating revenues. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: The annual operating budget transfer to the Capital Improvement Program (net of Split Blllinglh as a percentage of General Fund net operating revenues, has almost doubled since FYgl. In FYgl, the capital outlay from the General Fund was $1,000,000, or 1.9% of net operating revenues. By FY97, the n'ansfer had increased to almost $2.7 million, or 3.3% of operations. Given planned future increases of $500,000 following every re-assessment year, the annual capital Iransfer is expected to be $3.5 million in FY02. 2.9% of projected General Fund net operating revenues. Since FY95, the County has met its established goal of dedicating a minimum of 3% of budgeted General Fund operating revenues to the CIP. However, since actual revenue receipts tend to exceed budgeted projections, the actual ratio of capital transfer to General Fund revenues fell to 2.3% in FY95. Based on revised expenditure end revenue estimates for FY96, and FY97 budgeted dollars, capitol outlay is expected to exceed the 3% target for FY96 and FY97. 41 School Debt & Capital Outlay as % Total Expenditures on Schools 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% ~ 0% 14.92% 10.24% 9.75~ 8,67% ., I I I I I I I 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Rscal Year Total expenditureson Schoolsinclude General Operations Debt Service, Capital Outlay (including Split Billing), and use of Grant Fund& Descriptiorc School Division capital needs constitute a large portion of annual capital budgets. In FY97, School Division projects totaled $23,154,385, or 91% of ali County capital projects. The majority of these projects are financed by borrowed funds, which are repaid gradually through annual debt service paymenm These payments cover interest and principal on the School Division's inng-tarm debt, and are expenditures of the General Fund operating budget. However, School projects also are funded in part by capital outlay from the General Fund. This capital outlay primarily funds maintenance and replacement projects, but may be used to fund other capital projects as well. The combined costs of debt service payments on School Division long-term debt plus capital outlay for School projects, as a percenuage of total expenditures for School needs, is an indicator of the ongoing operating budget costs of funding School capital needs. A rapid increase in School debt service and capital outlay, as a percent of total expenditures on schools, may be a signal that annual .School Division capital budgets have placed an excessive burden on the operating budget, eSPecially since debt service is a fixed cost. 3. rapid decrease may signal that School capital facilities are not being adequately maintained or that the existing capital stock is insuffieiant to meet the needs of the community. Warning Trend: A rapid increase or decrease in School debt service and capital outlay, as a percentage of total School Division expenditures. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY91, the combined costs of debt service payments and eepital outlay for School projects have risen steafffly. Between FYgl and FY9~, expenditures on debt service and capital outlay grew from $3.4 million, or 6% of total expenditures on Schools, to $24 million (25%). The majority of this growth is due to increased debt service payments, which have grown by about 72% (in constant dollars) since FYgl. By conWast, School capital outlay (excluding split billing) grew in real terms by only 15.7% between FY92 and FY97. With SplitBilling, capital outlay is 17.6% in FY97. The large increases in FY92 and FY97 coincide with the construction of Agnorq-Iurt Elementary and the new Monticello High School. respectively. These fac'ffities were Fmancad both by borrowed funds and the use of one-time property tax revenues resulting from the split billing of personal property taxes in FY91 [$5.1 million) and real property taxes in FY96 ($16.5 million). The increased debt service and use of split billing revenues are reflected in the chart above. 42 Profile Community Profile What Defines Community Profile and Why is it Important? In the same way that the tax base determines a community's ability to generate revenues, the economic and demographic characteristics of a community shape its demand for services. In fact, changes in community needs and resources are related in a continuous cycle of cause and effect. For example, a decrease in population may lowar the demand for housing, causinga corresponding decline in the market value of housing, which in turn, reduces property tax revenues. However, since it is not always possible for a government to balance declIning revenueswith equivalent reductions in expenditures, the government may be forced to raise property taxes to make up for lost revenues, thereby placing an even greater burden on the remaining population. As economic conditions decline, the community becomes a less attractive place to live, and as a result, the population may decline further. Why Develop Economic and Demographic Indicators? The economic and demographic characteristics of Albemarle County have shaped, and will continue to influence, the County's £mancial condition. The economic and demographic indicators included in this section describe some of these characteristics. The indicators included in this section are: Indicator Population Growth Median Age Enrollment Growth Personal Income Per Capita Unemployment Rate Descr~vtion Population growth of County residents. Families in Poverty Changes in Property Value Market Value of New Development Business Activity Median age of County population. School enrollment growth (Kindergarten-12). Per Capita Personal Income (in constant dollars.) Ratio of unemployed workers to total potential work force in Albemarle, 49 Charlottesville, the State of Virginia and the Nation aa a whole. County families living at or below the poverty level, as a pereenmge of total families. 50 Changes in property values as a percentage of the prior year property value. 51 Market value of new development es a percanmge of total new development. 52 Local sales tax revenues as a percentage of total net operating revenues. Page 45 46 47 48 53 Albemarle County Profile: Albemarle County is a vibrant, growing community with a young and middle-aged population, rising personal incomes per capita, a strong employment base and a robust business sector. These demographic characteristics have shaped, and will continue to shape the demand for services in the County. Since 1990, the population of Albemarle has increased from 69,500 residents in FY91 to a projected 76,932 residents in FY97, an increase of uearly 11%. During this period, the population has grown relatively smoothly and steadily, averaging about 1.9% each year - a trend which is expected to continue into the next century, albeit at a slightly slower rate (about 1.1°A, if current conditions persist.) School enrollment also has increased smoothly and steadily since FY91, at an average rate of about 2.4% per year. If current conditions persist, school enrollment growth is projected to continue in this manner into the next century, although at a slightly slower 43 average growth rote of about 1.3%. Not surprisingly, tbe pereentage of new development that is residential in the County has been increasing also. Since the mid 1980's, the market value of new residential development, as a percentage of the value of total new development, has increased from 75% to 86% -- an average annual increase of about 1.3%. Albemarle is also a relativaly young community - nenrly halfofallresidents areunder 30 year of age. Only 15% of residents are over 60 years of age. However, the fastest growing segment of the population has been, and will continue to be, the 40-60 and 65+ age groups. By FY 2010, the 40-60 population is expected to have grown by 60% over FYgl, and the 60+ group is expected to have inereased by 88%. (By con~rast, the number of people trader the age of 20 is expected to have grown by 22%, while the population aged 20-40 is expected to have grown by only 4%.) Since the early 1990's real, per capita personal incomes have increased, and the unemployment rote has remained consistently low. Real personal income per capita has increased from a figure of $15,694 in FYgl to an estimated $17,734 in FY97 -- an increase of almost 1.4% per. Additionally, Albemarle has enjoyed a low unemployment rate, relative to the City of Charlottesville, the State of Virginia and the nation as a whole. Since the mid-1980's, tbe County's unemployment rate has remained relatively staady -- at abeut 2-3%/year (except during the recession of the early 1990's, when unemployment rates increased nationwide.) Albemarle's unemployment rate also has been typically lower than the rates in the City of Charlottesville, across the State of Virginia as a whole, and in the National as a whole. Property values also have been on the rise. The values of residential and commercial property in the County have increased annually since FY86. However, the growlh rote of residential and commercial property values has slowed since the mid 1980's, from about a 5-6% increase over the prior year in FY97 to only a level (0%) growth rate in FY95 (fiscal non-reassessment years.) Finally, business activity in the County has picked up since the early 1990's. In FY91, sales tax revenues accounted for about 6% of net operating revenues. By FY97, that percentage had increased to 6.6%. Given the inter-relationships between demographic and economic factors end revenues and expenditure growth, it is likely hat the rising populations, increasing property values, growing personal incomes, low unemployment and su~ung business sector have contributed to the favorable financial of the County. As evident in the first chapter, net operating revenues have been increasing, despite reductions in both the real property and personal property tax rates. However, the growing population, mereasing numbers of school children have put pressure on County government to meet the demands of growth, while maintaining current service levels, particularly in the area of education. Population Growth 90.000 80.000 70,000 60,000 50,000 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 Fiscal Year Descriptiom Population growth is an important determinant of financial condition because sudden changes in population size can have an adverse impact on a local government's expenditure and revenue profile, Expenditures may increase ff a sudden increase in population requires higher levels of service and/or additional capital outlay. A decline in population may appear to relieve the pressure on expenditures, because the population requiring serv~cas is smaller. However, in practice, local governments raay be unable to raake proportionate reductions in expenditures for a variety of reasons. First, fixed costs such as debt service, pensmns, and governmental mandates must be paid regardless of population size. Second, if the out migration is composed of middle- and upper-income households, then those remaining in the community are likely to be the poor and the aged, who rely most heavily on govemmant services. Additionally, population decline can have a negative effect an revenues, where the greater the decline, die more adverse die effects on employment, income, housing, and business activity. Warning Trends: A rapid change in population size, Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since the early 1980's, the population of Albemarle County has grown smoothly and steadily, averaging a little over 2% per year. (The most intensive population growth during this period occurred between 1988-1991 and between 1993-1995, when growth rates approached or exceeded 3°Ydyear.) Population growth since FY91 has bean slightly less rapid, averaging about 1.9%/year. If current conditions continue to exist, analysts predict that this pattern of smooth, steady growth will continue into the. next century, albeit at a slightly slower rate. By FY02, the population of Albemarle County is expected to reach approximately 80,188, an increase of 4.2% over FY97. Between FY97 and FY02, the annual population growth rate is expected to slow to about 1% annually. 45 Median Age 4O 30 2O 10 ~' 31.6 31.6 31.6 31.6 31.6 31.7 31.7 31.7 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Fiscal Year Description: This indicator shows the median (middle) age of the population in Albemarle County over time. A high median age of fifty or more indicates that a community is comprised primarily of senior citizens or older families without children. This indicator is important because evidence suggests that an aging population, and an increase in the number of senior citizens residing in a community, may depress revenue growth and increase the level of governmental expenditures. For example, revenue growth may slow if incomes, which for many seniom take the form of social security and pension payments, do not grow at the same rate as the general economy. Moreover, senior citizens often have full or partial exemption fi.om property rexes and user charges. Finally, sales tax revenues may mpar off since older persons tend to spend less money than younger persons. Additionally, expenditures on services may increase as the number of senior residents grows, since elderly citizens tend to require a more expensive mix of services, especially in the area of health and welfare. However, an aging population may have the opposite effect of boosting revenues and reducing expenditures, particularly if the increasing median age is caused by a drop in the number of families with young children, since older families reduce the need for school, recreation, and related programs. Warning Trends: An increasing median age of the population Obse~ed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY86. the median age of the population has increased by approximately 9.7% fi.om 28.9 years in FY86 to 31.7 years in FY97. However, since FYgl the median age of the population has remained relatively steady at approximately 31 years of age. As the table below illustrates, Albemarle is a relatively youthful community. In FY9?, about 28% of the population is under 20 years of age. and another 31% is between 2040 years of age. Only 15% of the community, is over 60 years of age. However, since FY91, the fastest growing age groups have been the 40-60 and 60+ populations. By 2010, the 40-60 population is expected to have grown by more than 60%, while the 60+ population is expected to have increased by about 88%. (By conuast, the number of people under 20 years of age is expected to have grown by 22%, while the population of residems between 2040 years of age is expected to have grown by only 4%.) Ag~C'',rm~n FY 1991 FY 1997 FY 2(3C~ FY 2010 0-19 t9.325 21.589 22.510 23,581 20-39 24,807 23,609 23,094 25.717 ~ 14,746 19.616 21,619 23,602 60+ 9,162 11.077 11.858 17,248 A? C',roun FY?l-?7 FYgl-O0 FY91-?O O-19 11.72% 16.48% 22.02% 20-39 -4.83% -6.91% 3.67,% 40-60 33.03% 46.61% 60.06% 60+ 20.90% 29.43% 88.26% 46 School Enrollment (K-12) 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9.000 8.000 1987 1988 19891990 19911992 1993 19941995 19961997 1998 19992090 20012002 Rscal Year Description: This indicator shows actual and projected public school enrollment in the County for grades Kindergarten ("K") - 12, from FY97 to FY02. Since expenditures on education account for nearly 70% of the total County budget in FY97, changes in enrollment can have a g~gnificent impact on the expenditm-e profile of a coromunily, lu general, enrollment growth requires ever increasing expenditures on education. Sharp increases, however, may require expenditures that eXceed available resources without the addition of new sources of revenue, efficiency gains or reductions in other areas. Although declining enrollment may relieve some of the pressure on expenditures, governments may not be able to produce corresponding reductions in expenses, due to the presence of f'med costs in the budget. Warning Trends: A significant increase m enrolled pupils. Observed Trend d in Albemarle County: Since lm[87, school enrollment has increased by approximately 27%. rising fi.om 8,962 in 1987 To 11.360 in 1997. During this period, the rate of increase has been relatively steady, averaging about 2.4°/dyear, with the exception of FY91, when enrollment growth nearly doubled to 4.7%. (The level growth rote in FY92 is attributed to the recessionary hiring freeze at State agencies and the University of Virginia in 1991, which reduced in migration to the County.) Enrollment Growth rates are depicted in the chart below. ffcurrent conditions persist, enrollment is expected to continue growing at this slow, steady pace into the next century, albeit at a slightly slower rate. By FY02, the student body of Albemarle County is expected to be 12, 143. The average annual increase between FY97 and FY02 is predicted to be about 1.3%. Enrollment Growth 47 Personal Income Per Capita 26~000 (in Constant Dollars 1990 = 100) 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 I I I I I I I I I I ! I '991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 FscalYear (Assumesa 1.73% real per capita annual growth rate after FY94 based on FY90-94 average,) Description: This indicatnr measures personal income per capita (in constant dollars) for residents of Charlottesville and Albemarle. Real, personal income per capita is one measure of a community's ability to pay taxes: since the higher the per capita income, the more proper~ tax, sales tax, income tax, and business tax revenues the community can generare. A decline in real per capita incomes may cause a drop in consumer purchasing power and can provide advance notice that businesses, especially in the retail sector, will suffer a decline that can ripple through the rest of the local economy and depress Warning Trends: A decline in the level or growth rate of personal income per capita (in constant dollars.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Real personal income per capita in the Charlottesville - Albemarle area has grown stcadily since FY91. Between FY91 and FY97, real per capita incomes in the two localities grew at an average of 1.73°/dyear, from $20,073 in FY91 to $22,974 in FY97. This represents a total increase of 14.7% over the 6-year period. If real per capita incomes continue rise at the same average rate of 1.74°/dyear (the annual rate of increase between FY90-FY94,) then real per capita incomes in the Charlottesville-Albemarle arca may reach $25,031 by FY02. 48 Unemployment Rate 8% o ~ 4% £ 2% 0% 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Fiscal Year .~_ Albemarle .-e- Charlottesville ~ Virginia ~ National 1996 Description: The unemployment rare, or number of unemployed people actively seeking work as a percentage of the total potential workforca, is an indicator of the employment base of a community. Additionally, since changes in the unemployment rate are related to changes m personal income, the unemployment rate also is an indicator of a community's ability to support its bu~mass sector and a government's ability to generate revenues. An incre~ing proportion of unemployed people in a community may lead to declining personal incomes, and ultflnataly to slower revenue growth. A declining employment rate, on the other hand, may have a positive effect on personal incomes and. ultimately, revenue receipm. Warning Trend: An increasing rate of loenl unemployment. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Albemarle County's unemployment rote has remained relatively steady s'mce FY86, at between 2-3O/dyear, with the exception of the recessionary period of the early 1990's when unemployment rates across the nation nearly doubled. Additionally, unemployment rates in Albemarle County generally has been lower than those in the City of Charlottesville, across the State of Virginia, and in the Nation as a whole. Since the mid 1980's, Albemarle's unemployment rate has been unifm'mly lower than the State and national averages, and has been either less than or equal to that oftbe City. 49 F ®le n '1"'1 · amllles in I'overty 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 as % of Total Families by Race 1970 1980 Year [:z]White ~ Black 1990 Description: This indicator illustrates the proportion of families living ar or below the poverty threshold in Albemarle County, by race. This indicator is important because an increase in the number of families in poverty, as a percentage of total families, is a signal of declining personal income, as well as an indicator of possible future increases in the level and unit cost of assistance services, particularly in the areas of health and welfare services. Warning Trend: An increasing proportion of poverty households. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Although data is unavailable for calendar year 2000, the number of families in povemd, as a percent of total families, by race, has declined since 1970. This decline has been evident for both white and black families in the area. The data below also shows that, as a group, whites were more likely than blacks to leave poverty in the 1970's, while relatively more blacks than whites escaped poverty in the 1950's. Percentage of Families in Poverty, 1970 - 1990: FY White Black 1970 10.90% 30.80% 1980 5.50% 21.60% 1990 3.80% 13.30% % Decrease White Black 1970 - 1980 -49.54% -29.87% 1980- 1990 -30.91% -38.43% 50 Property Values Growth in Property Values: Residential & Commercial as % Change over Prior Year (in Constant Dollars, 1990 = 100) 20% 15% 10% -5% 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 Fiscal Year .~. % hc. Residential -e- % Inc. Co.:,ercial Descriptiom This indicator measures ~e percenzage increase or decrease in residential and enmmercial propert7 values f~om year to year. Changes in property values are important since many local governments, Y~ke Albemarle County, depend on property taxes for a substantial porfiun of their revenues. This is especially u'ue in communitie~ like Albemarle with a stable or fixed tax rate, since in those areas, the higher the aggregate property value, the greater the revenues em'ned. Warning Trend: Declining growth or a drop in the market value of residential, commercial, or industrial property (in constant dollars.) Observed Trend in Albemarle County: ~mce FY86, the value of resklantial and commercial property in the County has increased annually (with the exception of FY93, when residential property values declined and commercial values were unchanged.) The uneven, "up-and-down" growth rate corresponds to the County's fiscal re, assessment cycle, with property values mcreaffmg signifieunfly in the fiscal year following a re- assessment, then slowing the following year. However, the general orientation of ~rend lines tatted to the above data indicates that since the late 1980% the rate of increase in the value of both commercial and property has slowed. In FY91, the percentage increase in residential property values over the prior year was 4.9%, and the percentage increase in enmmereial property values was 5.9%. By FY95, however, these respective rates of increase had slowed to a nearly level (0%) growth rate. 5 Residential Development 9O% 85% 80% 75% 70% I 1986 I I I I I 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 Rscal Year I I I I 1992 1993 1994 1995 Description: This indicator relates the market value of new residential development to the total value of all new development. Knowing the proportion of new development that is residential is ~raporren! because the net cost of serving residential development is typicallyhigher than the net cost of serving either commercial or industrial development, since residential development typically creates more expenditure demands then revenue receipts. Conversely, commercial end industrial development tend either to pay for themselves or result in revenue surpluses. Although the impact of new residential development on financial condition is best evaluated through fiscal impact enalysis, this indicator may signal the extent to which new development is likely to effect the fmencial resources of a community. Warning Trends: An increasing market value of residential development as a percentage of the market value of total new development. 52 Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Since FY86, the value of new residential devalopmenr, as a percentage of the value of total new development, has increased from approximately 75% to nearly 86% (in FY95.) The "up's" and "down's" in the trend line generally correspond to upswings end downtams in the general economy that have effected residential housing construction. (For example, the downturn in FY91 corresponds to the recessionary period of the early 1990's that bottomed out in 1991 end which depressed housing starts.) Business Activity 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 1991 Local Option Sales Tax Revenues as % of Total Net Operating Revenues I I I I I 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Fiscal Year Net Operating Revenues exclude Split Billing and Revenue Sharing. I 1997 Description: Local sales and use taxes are revenues received by the County fi.om the I cent of the 4 ~ cents sales tax generated within the County. The ratio of local sales tax revenues to total net operating revenues is an indicator of the strength of business activity in the community. Increasing sales mx revenues, as a percent of net operating revenues, nnply robust sales and a strong business sector. A strong business sector typically has a favorable impac~ on demographic and economic factors such as personal income, property value, and the employment base. However, declining sales tax revenues reflect weak business activity and a possible decline in personal incomes, property values and employment. Warning Trend: A decline in business activity as measured by declining retail sales tax revenues, as a percent of net operating revenues. Observed Trend in Albemarle County: Local option sales tax revenues, us a percent of net operating revenues, have inereased steadily since FYgl. In that year, sales tax revenues accounted for about 6% of net operating revenues, or $4.7 million dollars. In FY97, these revenues represent 6.6% of budgeted net operating revenues, or $7.7 miilion. These receipts indicate growth in business activities in the County. 53 Appendix Financial Management Policies Approved by the Board of Supervisors October, 1994 Statement of Purpose: The County of Albemarle has a responsibility to its citizens m account for public funds, to manage its finances wisely, and to allocate its resources efficientiy and effectively in order to provide the services desired by the public. The primary -objective of establishing Financial Management Policies is to provide a framework within which sound financial decisions may be made for the long term betterment and stability of Albcraarle County. This financial policy will provide these guidelines and goals to guide the f'mancial practices of Albemarle County. Policy Goals: A fiscal policy that is adopted, adhered to, and regularly reviewad is recognized as ~ cornerstone of sound financial munagemanc An effective fiscal policy should: Insulate the County fi'om fiscal crises; - Enhance the County's short term and long term financial credit ability by help'rog to achieve the highest credit rating and bond rating as possible; · Promote long term financial stability by establishing clear and consistent guidelines; · Provide the total financial picture of the County rather than concentrating on single issue areas; · Provide a link between long-range financial planning and current operations; and · Provide a framework for measuring the fiscal impact of government services against established fiscal parameters and guidelines. Operating Budget Policies: 1. The annual budget will be prepared consistent with guidelines established by the Government Finance Of['lcers Association and will annually seek the GFOA Distinguished Budget Presentation Award. 2. The budget must be structured so that the Board and the public can understand the relationship between revenues, expenditures and the achievement of service objectives. '3. The goal of the County is to fund all recurring expenditures with recurring revenues and to use non-recurring revenues only for non-recurring expenses. 4. The County will maintain an updated fiscal impact model to assess the impact of new development on the future costs of associated county services. 5. Utilizing the fiscal impact model, the County will develop and annually update a long range 0-5 year) f'mancial forecasting 55 10. 11. system, which will incinde projections of revenues, expenditures, as well as future costs and financing of capital improvements and other projects that are included in the capital budget When revenue shortfalls are anticipated in a fiscal year, spending during the fiscal year must be reduced sufficiently to offset current year shortfalls. The County will prepare the capital improvement budget in conjunction with the development of thc operating budget, in order to assure that the estimated costs and future impact ora capital project on the operating budget will be considered prior to its inclusion in the CIP. The County will develop and annually update a financial trend monitoring system which will examine fiscal trends f~om the preceding 5 years. Where possible, trend indicators will be developed and wacked for specific elements of the County's fiseal policy. The County shall establish a Memorandum of Understanding with the School Board regarding the amount of annual general fund support received each year, which has currently been established at approximately 60% of all new available local tax revenues. Available revenues are revenues that can be used for County and School Division operations after any increases in debt service, capital improvemem program funding, City of Charlottesville revenue sharing, and the Board reserve fund have been funded. This guideline will be reviewed annually. The operating budget preparation process is conducted to allow decisions to be made regarding anticipated resource levels and expenditure requirements for the levels and types of services to be provided in the upcoming fiscal year. The following budget proeeduras will insure the orderly and equitable appropriation of those resources: Operating budget requests are initiated at the department level within target guidelines set by the County Executive. Priorities ofresoorce allocation of divisions within a department are managed at the department level, In formulating budget requests, priority will be given to maintaining the current level of services. New services will be funded through identification of new resources or reallocation of existing resources, Proposed program expansions above existing service levels must be submitted as a budgetary increment requiring detailed justification, Every proposed program expansion will be scrutinized on the basis of its relationship to the health, safety and welfare of the community to include analysis of long term fiscal impacts. Proposed new programs must also be submitted as budgeua'y increments requiring detailed justification. New programs will be evaluated on the same basis as program expansions to include analysis of long term ftscal impacts. Performance measurement and productivity indicators will be integrated into the budget process as appropriate. Thc operating budget is approved and appropriated by the County Board of Supervisors at the Deparlment level. Total expenditures cannot exceed total appropriations of any department within the General Fund. Changes to the approved operating budget during the fiscal year can be accomplished in any of the following ways: Transfers between Divisions and line-item expenditures within a Department are approved by the Director of Finance. Transfers between expenditure accounts in different departments are approved by the Board of Supervisors. Encumbered funds for active purchase orders will be caused forward into the next fiscal year with the approval ofthe Board of Supervisors. 56 The County Executive will require monthly budget reports, monthly financial statements, and annual financial reports. The Board of Supervisors will adopt the budget no later than April 30. Capital Budget Policies: [. The County will approve an annual capital budget in accordance with an adopted Capital Improvements Program. The Board of Supervisors will accept recommendations from the Planning Commission for the five-year Capital /mprovemants Program that are consistent with identifiedneeds in the adopted Comprehensive Plan and Capital Facilities Plan. The County will coordinate the development of the capital budget with the development of the operating budget so that future operating costs, including annual debt service, associated with new capital projects will be projected and included in operating budget forecasts. 4. Emphasis will centhme to be placed upon a viable level of "pay-as-you-go" capital construction to fulfill needs in a Board approved Capital Improvement Program. The County believes in funding a significant portion of capital improvements on a cash basis and will, therefore, increase incrementally the percentage of its capital improvements financed by current revenues. The County's goal will be to dedicate a minimum of 3% of the annual General Fund revanuas allocated to the County's operating budget to the Capital Improvement Program. Financing plans for the five-year capital program will be developedbased upon a five-year forecast of revenues and expenditures coordinated by a capital improvements technical management team. 7. The County will begin to inventory capital facilities and estimate remaining useful life and replacement costs. Upon completion of any capital project, remaining appropriated funds in that project will be returned to the undesignated capital project fund. Any transfer of remaining funds from one project to another must be approved by the Board of Supervisors The County will develop a Memorandum of Understanding with the School Board regarding the development and coordination of the County's Capital Improvement Program, which will address the following areas: a) plan for required capital improvements; b) debt ratio targets; c) debt issuance schedules. Asset Fvlaintenance, Replacement and Enhancement Polices: The County will maintain a system for maintenance, replacement and enhancement of the County's and School Division's physical plant. This system will protect the Counys capital investment and minImize future maintenance and replacement costs: The operating budget will provide for minor and preventive maintenance; Within the Capital Improvement Program, the County will maintain a Capital Plant and Equipment Maimanance/Replacemant Schedule, which will provide a five-year estimate of the funds necessary To provide for the structural, site, major mechanical/electrical rehabilitation or replacement to the County and School physical plant requiring a total expenditure of $10.000 or more with a useful life of ten years or more. 57 To provide for the adequate maintenance of the County's capital plant and equipment, the County intends to increase the percemage of mafutenance/repait and replacement capital improvemenls financed with current revenues. Revenue Policies: 11. 12. Reassessment of real property will be made eve~ two years. The County will maintain sound appraisal procedures to keep property values current. The County's goal is to achieve an annual assessment to sales ratio of at least 95% under current real estate market conditions, when the lanuaty 1st assessment is compared to sales in the succeeding calendar year when that year is a reassessment year. The County will malnta'm a diversified and stable revenue structure to shelter it fi.om short-term fluctuations in any one The County will esfunate its annual revenues by an objective, analytical process. The County will monitor all taxes to insure that they are eqffltably administered and collections are timely and accurale. The County will follow an aggressive policy of collecting tax revenues. The annual level ofuncollected current property taxes should not exceed 4% unless caused by conditions beyond the County's control. To the extent poss~le, the County shall attempt to decrease the dependency on real estate rexes to finance the County's operafmg budget. The County will, where possible, institute user fees and charges for specialized programs and services in the county based on benefits and/or privileges granted by the County or based on the cost of a particular service. Rates will be established to recover operational as well as capital or debt service costs. The County will regularly (at least every 3 years) review user fee charges and related expenditures to determine if pre-established recovery goals are being met. The County will identify all inter-governmental aid funffmg possibilities. However, before applying for or accepting either State or Federal funding, the County will assess the merits of the program as if it were to be funded with local dollars. No grant will be accepted that will incur management and raporting costs greater than the grant. Local tax dollars will not be used to make up for losses of inter-governmental aid without first reviewing the program and its medis as a budgetary increment, The County will attempt to recover all allowable costs - both direct and indirect - associated with the administratien and implementation of programs funded through inter-governmental aid. In the case of slate and federally mandated programs, the County will attempt to obta'm full funding for the service from the governmental entity requh4mg that the service be provided. Investment Policies: The County will invest County revenue to maximize the rate of return while maintain~mg a low level of risk. The County will conduct an analysis of cash flow needs on an annual basis. Disbursements, collections, and deposits of ail funds will be scheduled to insure max'unum cash availability and investment potential. 2. The Director of Finance shall maintain a system of internal controls for investments, which shall be documented in writing 58 and subject m review by the County's independent auditor. ConU-actual consolidated banking services will be reviewed regularly. Accountinb Auditing and Financial Reporting Policies: The County will establish and maintain a high standard of accounting practices in conformance with the Uniform Financial Repor~ng Manual of Virginia and Generally Accepted Accounting Principals (GAAP) for governmental entities as promulgated by the Governmental Accounting Standards Board. Regular monthly financial statements and annual financial reports will present a summary of financial activity by governmental funds, An independent firm of certified public accountants will perform an annual fmencial and compliance audit according m generally accepted auditing standards; Government Auditing Standards issued by the Comptroller General of the United States; and Specifications for Audit of Counties, Cities and Town issued by the Auditor of Public Accounts of the Commonwealth of V'~rginia. The County will maintain an audit committee comprised of the County Executive, or his designee, the Director of Finance and two membem of the Board of Supervisors. The committee's responsibility will be to review the financial statements end results of the independent audit and to communicate those results to the Board of SuperVisors. 5. Annually seek the GFOA Certificate of Achievement for Excellence in Reporting. Debt Policies: 1. The County will not fund current operations from the proceeds of borrowed funds. 2. The CoanEv will manage its financial resources in a way that prevents borrowing to meet working capital needs. 3. The County will confine long-term borrowing and capital leases to capital improvements or projects that cannot be financed 4. To the extent feasible, uny year that the debt service payment falls below its c~t level, those savings will be used to finance one-time capital needs. 5. When the County finances capital improvements or other projects through bonds or capital leases, it will repay the debt within a period not to exceed the expected useful life of the projects. 6. The County's debt offering docments will provide full and complete public disclosure of finencial condition and operating results and other pertinent credit information in compliance with municipal fmance industry standards for similar issues. 7. Recognizing the importance of underlying debt to its overall financial condition, the County will set target debt ratios, which will be calculated annually and included in the annual review of fiscal trends: Net Debt per capita should remain under $1,000. Net Debts as a percentage of the estimated market value of taxable property should not exceed 2%. The ratio of debt service expenditures as a percent of General Fund revenues should not exceed 10%. 59 Fund Balance or Reserve Policies: t. The County does not intend, as a common practice, to use General Fund equity COndasignated Fund Balance) to finance current operations. The Fund balance is built over years fi.om savings m provide the County with working capital to enable it to finance unforeseen emergencies without borrowing. 2. The County will maintain a fund balance for cash liquidity purposes that will provide sufficient cash flow to minimize the possibility of short term tax anticipaflon borrowing. 3. The undesignated fund balance, plus the designafun for fiscal cash liquidity purposes, at the close of each fiscal year should be equal to no less than 10% of the County's total operating budget. Funds in excess of the required undesignated fund balance may be considered to supplement "pay as you go" capital expenditures or as additions to the fund balance. 60 C Five-Year Financial Forecast Fiscal Years 1998-2002 Cap~a~ P ¢o~ec~s FY ,~99019~ - ~9951cj6 S5 $0 F¥92 F¥cJB F¥95 F¥94 F¥93Fisca[ year · ~} Storm W ate~ General G°~'t; proiectS Prepared September; 1996 Table of Contents Introduction 1 Executive Summary 2 Economic and Growth Assumptions 2 Difference Between Revenues & Expenditures (Growth & Inflation Costs Only): 4 FY91 - FY02 Difference Between Revenues & Expenditures (with Added Fixed Costs: 5 FYgl - FY02 Financial Overview: FY91 - FY96 7 Overview 7 History of Revenues & Expenditures: FY91 - FY96 7 History of Revenues & Expenditures with Capital Projects: FYgl - FY96 7 Revenues 8 History of Revenues: FYgl -FY96 8 Significant Changes in Revenues 8 Comparison of Local Revenue Sources 9 Expenditures 10 History of Actual Expenditures: FY91 - FY96 10 Per Capita/Constant Dollar History of Actual Expenditures: FY91 - FY96 10 Five-Year Expenditure Trend 11 Significant Changes in Expenditure Patterns 11 Financial Forecast: FY98 - FY02 Overview 15 15 Five-Year Projection of Revenues & Expenditures - Growth & Inflation 15 Costs Only: FY98 - FY02 Five-Year Projection of Revenues & Expenditures With Fixed & 16 - Expanded Costs: FY98 - FY02 Revenue Projections 16 Five-Year Revenue Projections: FY98 - FY02 16 _ Projected Revenue Assumptions 17 Projected State School Revenues 18 Expenditure Projections 19 Five-Year Expenditure Projections (Growth & Inflation Costs Only): 19 FY 98-02 -- Projected County Expenditures (Including Baseline, Fixed & Expanded 19 Costs): FY98 - FY02 Breakdown of Projected County Expenditures (Including Baseline, Fixed 20 & Expanded Costs): FY98 - FY02 _ Projected Expenditure Assumptions 21 Projected Net Direct Debt Service 21 Projected Transfer to Capital Improvement Projects from General Fund 22 School Division Projected Expenditures 23 L Appendix Debt Service Schedule: FY 94-02 Reserve for Debt Service/Capital Projects FY 98-02 Requested Capital Improvement Program Operating Budget Impact Revenues - Description of General Fund Revenue Sources ,%5 pro~eCtS ~ Sm;~ v~ateT INTRODUCTION This Five-Year Financial Forecast marks the frrst step in meeting one of the stated goals in the County's Financial Management Policy, which is to "develop and annually update a long range (3-5) year financial forecasting system, which will include projections of revenues and expenditures, as well a~ future costs and financing of capital improvements and other projects that are included in the capital budget". In conjuncuon with the FY 1990/91 - FY 1996/97 Financial Condition Evaluation, published separately, this report is designed to help both the Board of Supervisors and the School Board take a comprehensive look at the financial condition of the County, and to weigh the impact of future decisions and policies in light of projected revenues and expenditures. Recognizing that five-year estimates, particularly in years four and five, are subject to fluctuations in the economy and changing policies and needs, it is the intention that this report will be updated on an annual basis. This five-year forecast is also designed to provide information and guidance to a diverse set of interests. First, it is hoped that it will provide a framework for County staff, both in general government and the school division, to review current and future services in light of projected available revenues. Second. it can provide a framework around which the Board of Supervisors and School Board may want to consider necessmy policy changes that would affect the County's future financial picture. Third, it is hoped that this report will enable the citizens of Albemarle to better understand future policy and budget decisions if they are more knowledgeable about the fiaure of the County's resources. This report is divided into four sections: an executive summary; a financial overview of the past five years FY90~91- FY95/96; a financial overview of projected revenues and expenditures for the next five years FY97- 98 - FY01/02; and an Appendix. September, 1996 Five-Year Financial Forecast EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This first long-range financial forecast for Albemarle County projects that desired expenditures will exceed projected revenues for the first four years: FY 97/98, FY 98/99. FY 99/00 and FY 00/01, with the highest negative imbalance occurring in FY 97/98 of $2.2 million, or 1.6% of revenues, The primary causes of imbalance are the fixed costs and capital-related operating costs of the school division, and the declining school revenues from the State. What the imbalance illustrates is that, unless some expenditures are deferred, or other external factors, including more positive State revenue projections, cause the growth, rates for revenues and/or expenditures to change, the County must decide how lo address this upcoming shortfall in the next four years. This forecast will hopefully provide the framework around which financial policies, service levels and revenue sources may be evaluated to address this irnbalance. This forecast is based on several critical assumptions in the four major areas off economic characteristics, tax rates and revenues, expenditures and demographic characteristics, and future expenditures. Economic Characteristics The rate of intlation is based on the National Annual Average CPIU figure, which represents the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all urban residents. The CPI index used in the projections is a combined average of the estimates ofthe Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). The average rate of inflation for FY97 - FY02 is projected to be 2.75%, which is only slightly lower than the historical average CPI for FY 1991-FY96 of 2.78%. Tax Rates and Revenues · Tax rates and tax structures are not expected to change. The Department of Finance projects General Fund revenues based on a combination of historical trend analysis and deterministic factors that show an average 7.9% increase in revenues over the next five years compared to an average annual rate of 8.3% for the prior five year period. More detailed revenue assumptions for specific revenues are found in the overview section. The School Division's Finance Office projects revenues more determinlstically, based on the County's estimated composite index, rather than relying upon a historical trend analysis. Projected revenues for the next five years are estimated to increase by only 1.8% compared to the past five year state revenue average annual increases of 4.5%. Expenditure Assumptions Baseline General Governmem operating expenditures are projected to increase by a Cost of Government Index, which is a combined factor ofinfiation and population growth. For general government, the average annual factor for the past five years has been 4.8%; for the next five year period, this factor is projected to be 3.9% per year. Baseline School Operations are projected to increase by a Cost of Education factor, which is a combined factor of inflation and projected school enrollment growth. The average annual increase in the cost of education from the prior five years was 5.2%; for the next five years this factor is projected to increase at an average at 4.2% per year. ~Five-Year Financial Forecast 2 September, 1996 Expanded fixed costs for general government and the school division are based on required expenditures or costs associated with capital projects in the proposed FY97/98 - FY01/02 Capital Improvement Program. Debt service costs are determined by existing debt retirement schedules and bonded school division projects in the approved Five-year Capital Improvement Program. Projected costs for debt service in this analysis. however, are based on an annual contribution to the debt reserve fund, to eliminate large fluctuations in the budget allocation. Capital improvement expenditures for the next five years are based on the County's financial policy guidelines of transferring no less than 3% of current General Fund revenues to the capital program. Revenue Sharing projections from the Department of Finance are based on the projected fair market value of all real estate and the 10% cap. Demographic Characteristics Estimated population growth between FY 96/97 and FY 99/00 is based on a calculated trend using the Center for Public Service estimates of 75,500 in FY 95/96, 79,081 in FY 00/01 and 90,148 in FY 10/11, resulting in an average annual increase of less than 1% through FY02. Although tlfis forecast uses the official population projections, the historical trend in population growth over the past five years has been approximately 2.06%. School enrollment data is based on school division projections updated in July, 1996 which shows a 1.35% average annual increase from FY98 to FY02 with the highest increases in the first two years Economic & Growth Assumptions FY 1996/97 - FY 2001/02 FY96/97 FY97/98 FY98/99 FY99/O0 FYO0/01 FY01/02 Inc. hflat/on Ct) 2.18% 2.93% 2.91% 2.89% 2.87% 2.70% Population Gmw~Ra~e 0.535% 0.94% 0.93% 0.92% 0.91% 1.40% ~ of Government 3.13% 3.87% 3.84% 3.81% 3.78% 4.10% 3,88% $ choolGmwfft Ra~ 2.13% 1.95% 1.61% 1.71% 1.11% 0.35% ~at]a lion 2.18% 2.93% 2.91% 2.89% 2.87% 2.70% Coat of F,.dtl~atdon 4.31% 4.88% 4.52% 4.60% 3.98% 3.05% 4.21% ['o pula ~ton Growth {2) chool Enmllment 0t 76,210 76,932 77,649 78,365 79,081 80,18sI 11360 11381 11,767 11,968 12,101 12,1431 (1) Based onavemge ofCBOawiOMB eslima~es. FY02 based onavg2.7% grow~ over pfiorfive yearn, (2) FY97-FY00 populationbased on Center f~r Public Service Estimates. FY01 &FY02 based on estimales for 2000 and 2010 g~Ven constant growlt~ (31 School Enm~mentbased on8/96 projections faoom School Div/s~orr September, 1996 3 Five-Year Financial Forecast When these assumptions are applied to both revenue and expenditure data in the forecast, they produce an annual revenue increase of 5.1% compared to a 6.6% rate over the past five years. The expenditure increase rate for the past five years has been 6.8% compared to a projected expenditure rote for the next five years of 4.7%, although the increased rate is higher in the first two years at 5.5% and 5.1%, respectively, compared to an average of 3.6% for the last three year period The chart below shows the actual difference between revenues and expenditures for the past five years (FY 91- 96), the current budget year and the projected difference for the next five years (FY 98-02) based on an expenditure model that assumes only growth and inflation in both general government and the school division. This model projects a surplus of revenues over expenditures for the next five years. Difference Between Revenues & Expenditures Growth and Inflation Only FY 1990/91 - FY 2001/02 $10.000 $8.000 $6.000 = $4,000 $3,482 $3,348 0 ~" $1 85952'101 e~ $2.000 $1,609 · $1,745 $411 $225 $0 ($o) ($2,000) $8,685 $5.647 FYgl FYg2 FYg$ FYg4 FYg5 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FYO0 FY01 FY02 Five-Year Financial Forecast 4 September, 1996 The chart below shows the negative balance over the first three years when other known fixed costs and facility related operating costs, i.e. new high school and northern elementary school, are added to the growth and inflation assumptions. Adding the fixed costs associated with VRS payment, establishing a textbook and a bus replacement fund and adding all the operating costs impacted by new capital facilities causes a shortfall of $2.t6 million in FY98, $2.13 in FY99, $0.876 million in FY00, and $0.393 million in FY01. Difference Between Revenues & Expenditures (Growth and Inflation with Added Fixed Costs) FY 1990/91 - FY 2001/02 $4,000 $2,000 ($2,000) ($4,000) ~ ~ 2'i94 1,609 1,859 2,101 861 B (393) (876) (2,160)(2,1,27) I I I t t FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FYO0 FY01 FY02 Fiscal Year The primary reasons for a negative imbalance in the first three years are attributed to the continuing real dollar loss of state revenues, but more specifically to the school division's initiation of the bus replacement fund, the textbook fund, and the operating costs associated with the new high school, plus the mandated VRS COLA payments for both the school division and general government. September, 1996 5 Five-Year Financial Forecast FY 91 -,96 FY ,,tggOIg'~ ' ,tgOSIg6 ~~ ~:¥g~ ~:~sCa~ear ~ Ge~erat Oo,~,t' FINANCIAL FORECAST OVERVIEW A VIEW OF PAST Albemarle County has experienced healthy fmaneial growth over the past five years. Revenues have increased by 7.04% on average, due mainly to increasing property values, new construction and a growing sales tax base. Expenditures have increased at an annual average of 6.76%. Albemarle's healthy economy and resulting cash revenues have allowed the County to meet annual expenditures without the use of fund balances. Each of the past five years has seen a surplus of revenues over required expenditures with ail surpluses being returned to the undesignated fund balance currently at approximately $13 million. History of Revenues and Expenditures FY 1990/91 - FY 1995-96 (in Thousands) FY90/91 FY 91192 FY 92/93 FY 93194 FY 94/95 FY 95~96 Average Annual Growth Revenues $80,94~ $84,760 $91,688 $98,394 $104,463 $113.702 7.04% Expendflmes $80,530 $83399 $90,079 $94,912 $I02,603 $111,601 6.76% Surplus $41~ $861 $1,609 $3,482 $1,859 $2,101 In addition to the operating revenues and expenditures shown above, there has been an increasing invesmaent m infrastructure, particularly in new and expanded school facilities, which has significantly increased the County's total expenditures. As evident in the chart below, adding annual capital costs to operating expenditures brings the average annual increase in expenditures to approximately 8%. Capital projects have been financed through growing transfer of ongoing revenues from the General Fund and increased debt financing through the Virginia Public School Authority (VPSA) bonds. History of Revenues and Expenditures With Capital Projects FY 1990/91 - FY 1995-96 (in Thousands) Ave ra ge FYg0/91 FY 91/92 NY 92/93 FY 98/94 FY 94/95 FY 95/96 Growth Revenues 80,941 84,760 91,688 98394 104,463 113,702 7.04% Ope raiing Expenditme s 80~530 83,899 90,079 94,912 102,603 111,601 6.76% CapitalPmje c~ 10,207 15,968 8383 13,171 5,804 19,631 49~7% Total Expenditures 90,737 99.866 98,462 108,083 108,408 131,232 7.96% September, 1996 7 Five-Year Financial Forecast The table below shows growth in the major categories of local and intergovernmental revenues over the past five years. Real estate taxes, which comprised 30% of the revenues in FY91 now constitute approximately 33% of the revenue stream with the percent of personal property revenues increasing from 11.7% to 14.6% of total revenues in FY96. Total local revenues comprised 63.4% of revenues in FY91 and 67,6% in FY96. While the share of intergovernmental (state/federal) revenues has remained fairly constant for general government, school intergovernmental revenues have decreased from 31.7% of the total budget in FY91 to 27.4% in FY96. Intergovernmental revenues for general government have increased approximately 8% each year. compared to approximately 4% per year for the school division. History of Revenues FY91 - FY96 (in Thousands) Some of the significant changes in revenues are highlighted below: Real Property Taxes Real property taxes have shown a strong growth with an average annual increase of 8.8% with no increase in the tax rate. Higher revenue increases of 15.5% in FY92, 9.2% in FY94 and 11.1% in FY 96 reflect the biennial reassessment of property values which have inereased 22%, ll% and 5% respectively. The average annual increase in new construction has been approximately $122 million, from a high of $141 million in 1990 to a low of $75 million in 1993. The County' s growing reliance on real estate property taxes is reflected in the increased percent of real property taxes to total revenues increasing from 30% in FYgl to almost 33% in FY96. Personal Property Personal property taxes have witnessed a strong growth of 11.7% over the past five years as a result of a healthy economy in vehicle sales, plus a significant increase in the cost of vehicles during this fane period. The average estimated value of a new vehicle increased 9.5% over the five-year period. Similar to real estate taxes, personal property taxes have taken on a larger percent of the total revenue stream from approx'anately 11.7% in FY91 to 14.6% in FY96. Sales Tax The growth in sales tax revenues has been healthy in Albemarle, particularly in the retail and grocery industries, as more of these businesses locate in the County. During this five-year period, several large franchise stores have located in Albemarle, adding substantially to the total sales tax base, rather than simply transferring sales Five-Year Financial Forecast 8 September, 1996 tax revenues from one retail outlet to another. Other local taxes, which include utility taxes, Business, Professional, Occupational Licenses (BPOL), vehicle license, recordation taxes and transient taxes have averaged approximately 4.6% annual growth, although the higher growth rotes of 6% and 7% were seen in the first two years. Other Local Revenues Other local revenues, which consist of pcamits/fees, fines/forfeitures, rents, charges for services and recovered costs from other entities, have been increased annually at an average rate of 4.2%. Ail categories of these revenues have shown relatively weak increases and, if measured in constant dollars, would show only a .g2% average annual increase. Intergovernmental Revenues State and Federal revenues for general government have shown an average increase of approximately 7.7%, the largest increase being in social services. However, these increases reflect revenues for additional programs, as well as several changes in the way state dollars are reimbursed to the County. Whereas the State formerly paid program costs outside of the County budget, they now reinaburse the County for paying the upfrunt costs. Therefore, this increase should not be seen as increased revenues, but simply funds matched by increased expenditures. For local government, State revenues continue to comprise approximately 5% of the total revenue stream Imergovemmental revenues to the school division show an average increase of 4.1%, but they also reflect a O O smaller share of the total revenue stream from 31.7% in FY91 to 27.4 % in FY96. The chart below reflects how Albemarle County compares with other Virginia counties and cities in the percent of local revenues collected by various local taxes, charges and licenses. Comparison of Local Revenue Sources Albemarle County, Counties and Cities Revenue Source Albemarle Counties Cities Real Estate Taxes 4S,00% 50.00% 41.00% Personal Property 21.72% 15.00% 11.00% Sales Tax 9.56% 7.00% 8.00% Business License 5.53% 3.65% 5.40% Cha~ges for Services 1.00% 9.40% 8.80% Utility Taxes 6.66% 3.54% 6.90% Use of Money & Property 2.07% 1.95% 1.60% Permits and Fees 1.02% 1.74% 0.90% Motor Vehicle Licenses 1.59% 1.30% 1,20% Transient Taxes 0.47% 0.48% 1.00% Total Local 67.59% 65.00% 62.00% State/Federal Revenues 32.41% 36.00% 39.00% Note: More detailed descriptions of revenue sources are found in the Appendix. September, 1996 9 Five-Year Financial Forecast EXPENDITURES Overall expenditures during the past five years have been less than the mount of revenues actually collected. and less than the amounts budgeted each year with savings being returned to the general fund and school fund balances. Actual expenditures have averaged 6.8% over the five year period. History Of Actual Expenditures FY1990/91 - FY1995/96 (in millions) Avg % TL % TL Annual FY 91 FY91 FY 92 FY 93 FY 94 FY 95 FY 96 FY96 Increase General Govt Oaerations 23.21% 19.8~t5 20.298 21.609 22.373 24.182 26.503 23.75% 7.25% School Division Operat~ns 67.84% 54.634 55.232 58.542 6! 133 65.468 70,117 62.83% 5.14% Capital Transfer 1.24% 1.000 1,000 1.273 1.519 1.643 2,728 2.44% 24.13% Debt Servise 4.22% 3,399 4.092 5.229 5.567 6.836 6.957 6.23% 15.84% DebyCaoita[ Reserve 0.00% 0 0 0 0 0 250 0.22% Revenue Sharing 3.43% 2.802 3.277 3.426 4.319 4.475 5.050 4.53% 12.80% Tota 100.00% 80,530 83.899 90,079 94.912 102.603 111.602 100.00% 6.76% General govemmem operations have experienced an annual increase of 7.3% while school division expenditures increased an average of 5% per year. While general government operations have remained at approximately 23% of the total budget during the five year period, school expenditures have decreased from approximately 68% of the budget to 63% of total expenditures. As the above chart indicates, the largest average percentage increases overall have been in the capital transfer (24.1%), in the debt service (15.8%) and in the revenue sharing paymem (12.8%.) These changing expenditure patterns often are difficult to interpret without looking at the dual impact of inflation and growth on the expenditure increases. The following chart reflects the actual dollar value of the expenditures over the past five years, based on 1990 dollars divided by the yearly population. History of Actual Expenditures Per Capita (Constant Dollars, 1990 = 100) FY 1990/91 - FY 1995/96 FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 General Govt Operations $274 $283 $290 $284 School Division Operations $801 $771 $785 $775 Capital Transfer $15 $14 $17 $19 Debt Service $50 $57 $70 $71 Debt/Capital Reserve $0 $0 $0 $0 Revenue Sharing $41 $46 $46 $55 Total $t,181 $1,171 $1,208 $'l,203 Per Capita FY 95 FY 96 $ Inc $291 $306 $32 $788 $810 $8 $2O $31 $17 $82 $80 $30 $0 $3 $3 $54 $58 $17 $1,234 $1,288 $107 Avg. Annual Inc $6 $2 $3 $6 $~ $3 $21 Five-Year Financial Forecast 10 September, 1996 The following chart shows the changing relationship between the major categories of expenditures: Five-Year Expenditure Trend S120.000 $100.000 $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20.000 $0 FY91 FY92 i C-enOperaflons ~Debt Service FY93 FY g4 FY95 RscalYear m School Operations ~Caff~alTransfer r--IRevenueSharing Other significant changes in expenditure patterns are highlighted below: Personnel Costs Expenditures for compensation and benefits for general government staff have increased by approximately 7.7% per year, although that is inclusive of 51 new employees, increased overtime and overtime reimbursable expenditures for both the police and sheriff's departments over the five-year period. Actual salary increases from FYgl through FY96 have averaged approximately 3.8%, which includes all performance bonuses, vested steps and scale adjustments. This mirrors the average CPI index of 3.8% forthe same five-year period. Of the 5 new employees, 40% were in the field of public safety. O Overall benefit costs for County employees increased by 8~ on average. The majority of this increase was driven by health care costs, which averaged 18% per year over the five year period. Purchased Services, which consist of professional services, maintenance and repair, cleaning, and printing and binding with outside vendors increased on average by approximately 13% per year, from a total of $724,000 in FY91 to $I.2 million in FY96. Other Charges, which consist of electric, telephone and insurance costs, travel and all outside agency contractsincluding the health department, City fire department, fire/rescue organizations, all social service programs and non-profit agencies rose from $4.4 million in FY90/91 to $6.3 million in FY96 -- for a total increase of approximately 42%, or approximately 8.4% per year. Supplies, which consist of all office supplies, vehicle operations, copy supplies, educational and recreational supplies, books/subscriptions and data processing supplies increased approximately 23%, but constitute a small percentage of the budget for a total outlay of $686,700 in FY96. September, 1996 11 Five-Year Financial Forecast Joint Operations, which includes the ECC, the jail, juvenile court, the library and Darden Towe Park increased from $1.7 million in FY91 to $2.36 million in FY96, or an average of 18% per year. The majority of the increase was due to increased costs of the Regional Library and the start-up costs of the Northside Library. Capital Outlay for new and replacement equipment rose by 12% over the 5-year period, or an average increase of 2.5%o per year. School Division Although the school division's percent of total expenditures has decreased from 68% in FY91 to 63% in FY96, total expenditures increased an average of 5.14% per year. The local transfer to the school division has shown an average 6.4% annual increase and consistently averages 60% of all local revenues. Capital Transfer Based on growing infrastructure needs, the County's explicit policy in 1992 was to increase the current revenues going to the Capital Improvement Program by approximately $500,000 in each reassessment year. The historical $1 million transfer to the CIP iacreased to $2.75 million in FY96. Capital Projects FY 1990/91 - FY 1995/96 $25 $15 $!o S5 $0 ~91 iSchool ~o~cts ~92 ~93 ~94 ~95 ~96 Rscal Year ~ ~neral ~v~ ~o~c~s r-'3 ~orm Water Debt Service Debt service has grown an average of 16% per year, which reflects the ongoing utilization of VPSA bonds for expanding and building school facilities. Since FY95, the annual transfer to debt service has been fairly stable at approximately $7 million/year, although the actual bond principal and interest charges have been slightly lower. From this savings, the reserve balance at the end of FY96 totals approximately $895,000, which will be used as part of the debt service reserve for the $1.6 million debt service payment for the High School in FY99. For a more detailed explanation of the Debt/Capital Reserve Fund, see Appendix. Five-Year Financial Forecast 12 September, 1996 Debt/Capital Reserve The debt/capital reserve fund was initiated with $250,000 in FY96 in anticipation of both the debt and capital costs for the new high school scheduled to open in the fall of 1997, or FY98. The reserve fund will enable level debt service allocations each year in order to avoid the wide swings in debt service payments that have occurred in the past. These up and down payments have placed a burden on both general and school division operating budgets in a large debt increase year. For example, in FY95 the annual increase in debt service was $1.3 million for the new middle school, which reduced new operating revenues to the School Division by $780,000 (60¥05 and $520,000 (40%) from general government operations. Revenue Sharing Revenue Sharing saw an average increase of approximately 13% and now constitutes 4.5% of the County's budget, compared to 3.5% in FY91. September, 1996 13 Five-Year Financial Forecast FY 98 - . ~ ?roieCts Lr ¸. $25 $o F¥92 ~ Sct~ool Pr°iectS F¥95 F~'93 Fiscat year ~ General GO~'t- proiectS ~ Storm FYg6 water A VIEW OF THE FUTURE Albemnrle's five-year financial forecast begins with two scenarios: one that projects revenues and expenditures based on the Board's implicit policy decision that initial budget allocations to both general government and school operations stay within the limits of growth and inflation; and a second scenario that projects expenditures based on rates of growth and inflation, plus known fixed costs and the expanded operating costs associated with capital projects in the Capital Improvement Program, particularly the new high school. In the first scenario presented below, revenues are projected to exceed expenditures in each year of the five year plan, although refinements to both expenditures and revenues would be anticipated in the final two years. Revenues are anticipated to increase by an average of 5.1% per year, while overall expenditures are expected to increase by 3.8%. During this period, the budget surplus is expected to grow fxom $0.225 million in FY98, the surplus will grow to $8.7 million in FY02. Five Year Projection of Revenues and Expenditures Growth & Inflation Costs Only FY 1997/98 - FY 2001/02 F¥96197 II FY 97~98 FY' 98~99 FY 99~00 FY 00101 Revenues $118,404~ $122,786 $129,189 $136,490 $143,550 Expendilme s $118A04~ $122,561 $127,444 $133,143 $137,902 Sm'plus ($0]~ $225 $1,745 $3,348 $5.647 Avg. Annual FY 01102 Growth $151,552 5.06% $142~866 3.83% $8.685 Revenue and expenditure growth in the above forecast is based on the following assumptions, which are critical to the understanding of this forecast and its outcome: County tax rates and collection procedures will not change. Operating service levels are based on the current policy of funding CPI, plus growth. No known fixed costs other than debt service, capital transfer, and revenue sharing are included. School Division revenues are worst case, with an average annual increase of 1.8% for state/federal revenues. School Division growth is based on projected enrollment; general govemmem growth is based on population estimates. Projected inflation and growth rotes are accurate. (However, official population estimates ora 1% growth rate seem iow based on the historical average annual growth rate of 2% over the past five years). The second scenario, which is shown on the following page, includes the above growth and inflation, plus fixed and expanded costs for both the school division and general government. Including these costs provides a more realistic picture ofprojected expenditures for the next five years, although budget expenditures exceed revenues by over $2 million dollars in both FY98 and FY99. The revenue shortfall is reduced to $0.876 in FY00 and $0.393 in FY01. Revenues begin to show a surplus in FY02. September. 1996 15 Five-Year Financial Forecast Revenues Expenditures Surplus Five;year Projection of Revenues and Expenditures OVith Fixed and Expanded Costs) FY 1997/98 - FY 2001/02 FY96197 $118,404 $118,404 FY 97198 FY 98~99 FY 99100 FY D010t FY01102 $122~86 $129289 $136,490 $143,550 $151,552 $124,946 $131~16 $137366 $143,942 $149S58 ($2,160) ~2S27) 0876) ($393) $2~94 Average Annual Growth 5.06% 4.73 % Specific cost information for this projected revenue/expenditure scenario is provided in the projected expenditure section. REVENUE PROJECTIONS Overall, revenues in the next five years are projected to increase ar an average rate of 5.1% per year from $118.4 million in FY97 to $151.6 million in FY02. Real estate taxes continue to constitute the largest revenue source, although their share of total revenues is projected to decrease from 32.3% in FY97 to 32.1% in FY02. P~rsonal property taxes are projected to assume a relatively larger share of the revenue stream, as are other local taxes. Intergovernmental revenues in the general fund are projected to grow at a much slower annual average rate of 1.7%. than during the prior five years when these revenues increased by 7.7% each year on average. Intergovernmental revenues for the school division also are projected to grow at a slower rate of 1.8% per year, compared to 4.5% between FYgl and FY96. Five-year Revenue Projections FY 1997/98 - FY 2001/02 Avg. Five-Year Financial Forecast 16 September, 1996 The major assumptions behind these revenue projections are that: Tax rates will not change. · Historical trends and relationships will continue. · The CPI indicators will prove to be correct. Other assumptions behind the major revenue increases are: Real Property Taxes Projected real estate taxes are based on historical trends, although it is anticipated that real property values will not continue to experience the significant increases of the past five years. Real property taxes should grow at an average of about 5% per year over the next five-year period, based on increased reassessment values of 2% in 1997, 4% in 1999 and 6% in 2001 New construction is projected to be approximately $100 million per year. Personal Property Taxes Personal property taxes will continue to be a source ofincreas'mg revenue and are projected to grow by approximately 12.7% per year. The volume of trade in vehicles is anticipated to increase by 5% with the sale o new vehicles increas'mg by approximately 2% per year. Sales Taxes Sales tax revenues will continue to comprise approximately 6.5% of the total revenue stream with an annual average increase of 5.1% State sales tax projections are 4.7% and 4.3% for FY97 and FY98 respectively. Albemarle traditionally has been above the state average by .5% to .75%. School Fund Revenues School fund revenues are based on School Division Fiscal Services Office projections that anticipate only a 1.8% average annual increase in state, federal and other revenues during the next five-years -- an average of $562,658 each year. This rate of increase, which is based on the School Division's prediction that the County's composite index will increase in FY99 and FY01, is significantly lower than the average annual growth rate fi.om the prior five year period of approximately 4.5%. In the Self-Sustaining Funds, only the Cafeteria Fund revenues have been projected to increase. A th/rd scenario, not formally presented here, would be to project school revenues based on an historical average over the past five years, as opposed to the County's estimated composite index. The chart on the next page shows projected school revenues for the worst case scenario of 1.8%, as well as school revenues if a historical trend analysis were used for the projection. Based on this more positive scenario, intergovernmental school revenues would increase by approximately $1.3 million per year or an average of 4% per year. September, 1996 17 Five-Year Financial Forecast $5 50 45 o 40 35 3O 25 Projected State School Revenues Based on Historical Trend Analysis FY 1997/98 - 2001/02 FY97 FY98 FY99 FYO0 Fscal Year .~. School Projection -4- I~storical Trend FY01 FY02 .~_ Local Transfer Five-Year Financial Forecast 18 September, 1996 EXPENDITURE PROJECTIONS The first expenditure projection scenario is based on the Board's implicit policy decision over the past several years to keep operational increases within the rotes of growth and inflation. Under this scenario, general govemmem operations are projected to increase by 3.9%/year and school division operations are projected to grow by an average of 4.1% each year. The largest average annual increases are seen in revenue sharing (8.7%) and the capital transfer (at 8.6%.) Five-Year Expenditure Projections Growth & Inflation Costs Only FY97/98 - FY 01/02 % Total FY97 FY97 FY98 FY 99 FY 00 General Govt OperatJons 24,85% 29.428 30.566 31,740 32.949 School Division Ooerations 56.73% 67,172 69.924 73.085 76.447 79.489 School Self-Sustaining Funds 5.35% 6,338 6.489 6.499 6.508 6.518 Capital Transfer 2.27% 2.687 2,500 2,900 3,200 3,500 Debt Service 5.88% 6.959 6.846 6.846 6.846 6.846 Debt/Capital Reserve 0.55% 650 400 400 450 450 Revenue Sharing 4.37% 5.171 5.835 5.975 6.742 6.904 Total 100.00% $t18,404 $122,561 $t27,444 $133,143 $137,902 Avg % of Total Annual FY01 FY02 FY02 Increase 34,195 35.597 24.92% 3.88% 81.914 57.34% 4.05% 6.269 4.39% -0.200/0 4.000 2.80% 8.61% 6.846 4.79% -0.33% 450 0.31% -5.19% 7.790 5.45% 8,66% $142.866 100.00% 3.83% The second scenario projects expenditures based on growth and inflation, plus known fixed costs and operating expenditures linked to new and expanded capital facilities for both the school division and general governmen[ This scenario is presented in the chart below. A detailed breakdown of these expenditures is found on the following page. Projected County Expenditures (Including Baseline, Fixed & Expanded Costs) FY 1997/98 - FY 2001/02 Avg Total % Total Annual FY 97 FY97 FY 98 FY 99 FY 00 FY 0'1 FY 02 FY02 In crease ~~ : . -;. '--. . : o -. -~ School Division Operations 56.73% 67.172 71.371 76.060 79,577 83.524 86,102 57.73% 5.10% School Self-Sustaining Fund 5.35% 6.338 6,489 6,499 6,508 6,518 6,269 4.20% -0.20% Capital Transfer 2.27% 2.687 2,500 2.900 3.200 3.500 4.000 2.68% 8.61% Debt Service 5.88% 6,959 6,846 6,846 6.846 6.846 6.846 4.59% -0,33% Debt/Caoital Reserve 0.55% 650 400 400 450 450 450 0.30% -5.19% Revenue Sharing 4.37% 5.171 5,835 5.975 6.742 6.904 7.790 5.22% 8.66% Total 100.00% $118.404 $124.946 $131.316 $137,366 $143.942 $149.158 100.00% 4.73% September, 1996 19 Five-Year Financial Forecast Breakdown of Projected County Expenditures (Including Baseline, Fixed & Expanded Costs) FY 1997/98 - FY 2001/02 FY96/97 General Government Prior Year Baseline Funding 29,427.520 ~ali debt service School Division Operations ;rior Year Baseline Funding 66.670,687 x cost of education Baseline Funding 66.670.687 plus One-Time reven~s 501,495 Ca[~Ral p~ojeof operating costs Textbook Fund VRS Cola 3ayments Bus ~eo~acernent Fund Subtotal Projected School Expenditures 67,t72,182 29.427.520 30.666.365 31.740.113 3Z949.412 34.194.90( 103.67% 103.84% 103.61% 103.78% 104.10~ 30.566.365 31,740.113 32.949.412 34.194.900 35.596,89C 444,310 634,335 729,465 11~42.862 1.739,82E 394.260 63.000 63,000 63.000 63.00C 1 O0.O00 300.000 300,000 300.000 300.00( 31,304.936 32.637,448 34,041.877 36,300.762 37,699,71E ;$2,077,41S S1,'t32,S13 $t,404,428 ~S2,'168,88G '7.06% 3.59% 4~30% · 6,34% 4.14~; 66.670.687 69,924.217 73,084.791 76,446.692 79.489.27¢ t04.88% 104.52% 104,60% 103.98% 69.924.217 73,084.791 76.446.692 79,489.270 81.913,69~: 489.436 1.873.404 2.079.355 2,~63.235 3.102.261 200.000 209,040 213.656 227,358 234,293 326.400 460.403 400.711 411.846 419.80; 432.000 432.000 432.000 432.060 432.00( 71,37t,053 76,059,638 79,677,411 83,623,709 86,102,04~ 6.845.880 6.845.880 6.545.880 6.845,860 6.845.8E 2.500.000 2.900.000 3.200.000 3.500.000 4.000.000: 400.000 400.000 450.000 450.000 450.000 5.855.100 5.974.752 6.742.268 6.903.631 7.790.471 15,S~0,980 1G,120,632 17~.38,148 17,699,5'11 19,086,3S1 1t4,247 0.74% $118,456,968 $124,817,7t9 $130,857,436 $137,423,682 $142,868,t18 6A89A9~ 6.498.602 6,508.258 6,515.493 6.2~g.408; Growth 3.98% $1,233.874 $120.252 $260.000 $1,654,440 6.09% 4,21% $3.048,601 $2,101,338 $217.869 72~,g24 4,33% Five-Year Financial Forecast 20 September, 1996 Projected expenditure assumptions: Personnel - Baseline personnel costs are anticipated to grow at a rate of approximately 4% to 5% or shghtly over the rate of inflation. Fringe benefits are not projected to increase significantly with the exception of the VRS pre-landed COLA payments that begin in FY98 with an up-from payment of $394,260 (over the current year) and an additional $60,000 for each fiscal year through FY 2008. Health insurance costs are not projected to increase substantially and should stay well below the 18% average annual costs between FY91 and FY96. Baseline operations, which include purchased services, other charges, supplies, joint operations, and capital equipment are expected to increase at the rate of inflation and growth (an annual average of 3.88% for general government.) Capital-Related Operations are costs associated with new and expanded capital facilities in the proposed FY 1996/97 - FY 2000/01 Capital Improvement Program. Costs associated with general govemmem projects are projected to add $5 million dollars in operating costs over the five year period. A majority of these costs are associated with staffing new fire/rescue stations in the last two years of the five-year plan. A list of specific operational costs associated with capital projects may be found in the Appendix. Debt Service costs for the next five year period are based on projected VPSA Bond issues for school projects approved in the FY97/98 - FY00/01 Capital Improvement Program. Debt service grows bom $6.8 million in FY98 to $10.8 million in FY02 based on a 7% interest rare. Substantial savings may be realized if interast rates remain as low as they have in the prior five years. The debt service in the projected expenditure forecast uses the debt reserve conlribution for the five-year period instead of the annual interest and principal costs in order to avoid the extreme fluctuations in funding levels, particularly the projected $1.6 million annual increase in FY99 for the new high school. Therefore, the debt service level remains constant at a $6.85 million. Actual debt service, shown below, remains just under the maximum 10% cap of general fund revenues stipulated in the County's Financial Policies. A detailed schedule of the bond issue and debt service payments are found in the Appendix. Net Direct Debt Service 2OO2 September, 1996 21 Five-Year Financial Forecast Capital Transfer costs were originally projected to increase by $500,000 in the massessment year of FY98, FY00, and FY02 for a total transfer of $3.56 million in FY02. However, this original plan does not meet the mirtimum target of 3% of general fund revenues set by the financial policies. Expanditure projections below reflect tlfis policy decision with revised capital transfers of $2.5 million in FY98 increasing to $4 million in FY02. 4.0% Transfer to CIP Projects from General Fund as % of General Ftmd Revenues 0.0% t99~ 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1999 Rscal Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 The FY98-FY02 Capital Improvement Program projects an increasing share of the capital transfer to be put into the School's maintenance and repair line-items in order to adhere to the County's financial policy of increasing current revenues instead of borrowed funds to pay for ongoing maintenance. The capital transfer for school maintenance projects is projected to increase from $500,000 in FY98 to $1,000,000 in FY02. Reserve Fund contributions are projected to remain at $400,000 for FY98 and FY99 and then increase to $450,000 for FY00-FY02. A chart of the Debt Service Reserve Fund is included in the Appendix. Revenue Sharing costs have been projected by the Department of Finance based on the anticipated rise in real estam assessment vaiues, assuming the 10% cap. Based on the increased value ofreal estate from the FY95 reassessmenr, the FY 98 revenue sharing cost will be an additional $664,247. School Transfer is projected to increase with the cost of education factor or the combined enrollment growth and CPI. Assuming the local transfer is based on this factor, the average annual transfer increase will be approximately 5.4% for the five year period FY98- FY02 or an average dollar increase of approximately $2 million. Five-Year Financial Forecast 22 September, 1996 School Division Projected Expenditures Operational increases for the School Division are based on combined enrollment growth and CPI, which varies from a high of 4.9% in FY98 to a low of 3.05% in FY02, for an average annual baseline cost increase of 4.2%. or $3 million dollars, each year. Fixed/Expanded Costs: The following fixed and expanded costs reflect state policy decisions (VRS), operating costs associated with new and expanded capital facilities, and replacement costs for buses and textbooks. VRS. The School Division is mandated by the state to pay the VRS COLA increases beginning in FY98 with an average annual payment of approximately $400,000. Bus Replacement Fund. The School Division initiated a bus replacement fund with $200,000 in FY95/96 and an FY 96/97 contribution of $357,288. To maintain the fund and replace buses on a 13 year cycle through FY 2008, the School Division estimates they will need an annual contribution of $432,000 to the current fund. Textbook Replacement Fund. School Division staff estimate that an annual allocation of $200,000 is needed to maintain a textbook replacement cycle. Textbook expenditure projections increase annually with growth and inflation for the fiscal years FY99-FY02. Capital Improvement Projects (operational costs) Costs associated with new and expanded school facilities total approximately $10.5 million over the next five- years, due mainly to the ongoing operating costs of the new high school and the proposed northern elementary School planned to open in FY01. All operational costs for a new facility, i.e. custodians, principals, heating/electricity, etc., not only repeat each year, but increase each year with inflation and growth. A detailed list of CIP project operational costs is included in the Appendix. September, 1996 23 Five-Year Financial Forecast dix ~5 $0 FY 'llggofg~ ' ~gg51g6 FYgl ~E~ schOOl pro,eatS FYg2 FYg6 F~g5 FYg4 ~oenera% OO~'t-Prfflects ~St°rmWnter ALBEMARLE COUNTY DEBT SERVICE FY1995196 TO FY 2020121 * TOTAL. FISCAL CURRENT TOTAL INC PERCENT PROJECTED BOND YEAR TOTAL DE_BT_ PRI{~R YR __ GEN' FUND GEN _OPER 11.900,0~' 450.000 7,850,000 5.884.485 15.988,120 6,176,680 9.220.700 7.634,7~. 44,904,778 1994 5,588,325 5.588.325 1995 6.829.572 6.829,572 1996 5,875.687 5.932,310 1997 5.583,117 6.458.493 1998 5.244.191 6.747,133 1999 4.991.766 8,372.488 2000 4,969.113 8,964.283 2001 4.447.077 g.388,413 2002 4,387.060 10.097.925 2003 3,804.086 9.341.582 2004 3.521,655 8.883,808 2005 3.426,840 6.611 ~674 2006 3,134.554 8.137,221 2007 2.922,967 7,745,723 2008 2,585,763 7,235.696 2009 2,449.021 6.926,110 2010 2,032,443 6.339.661 2011 1.161.947 5,293,282 2012 908.740 4.867.188 2013 158.361 3,943.910 2014 87.125 3.699.766 2015 3.439.732 2016 3.247.484 2017 2,695,840 2018 2.249.917 2019 1.317.937 2020 926,491 2,021 408.461 7.88% 70.958.787 1.241.247 9.02% 75.697.849 (897,262) 7.22% 82.159.486 526.183 7.38% 87,506,540 288,640 7.37% 91,519.454 1,625,355 8.60% 97,361.384 591.796 8.63% 103.891.773 424,130 8.51% 110.370.521 709,511 8.57% 117,840,969 (756,343) 7.55% 123,733.017 (457,775) 6.84% 129.919.668 272,134) 6.31% 136.415.652 474,453) 5.68% 143.236,434 391.499~ 5.15% 150,398.256 510,025) 4.58% 157.918,169 309,569) 4.18% 165.814.077 569,449) 3.64% 174,104.761 1,043,380) 2.90% 1~2.810.029 426,094) 2.54~/~ 191.950.521 (923,278) 1.96% 201.548.047 (244,145) 1.75% 211,625,450 (260,034) 1.55% 222,206,722 (192,249) 1.39% 233,317.058 (551,644) 1.10% 244,982,911 (445,923) 0.87% 257.232.057 (931,980) 0.49% 270.093,660 (389,447~ 0.33% 283,596.343 (520,029) 0,14% 297,778`260 · Assumes interest rate of 6.5% for FY96/97 and 7% for out years on 20.year fixed principal * Total General Fund based on Dept. of Finance estimates through FY02. FY03 - FY21 based on 5% increase. 09/13/96 I BONDCAL.WK4 ANALYSIS RESERVE FOR FUTURE CAPITAL PROJECTS/DEBT SERVICE ACTIVITY Projected Beginning Balance FY 96 FY 96 Addition Transfer from operating budget 250,000 Savings from annual debt service cost 895,568 FY 97 Addition (transfer from General Fund) 450,000 Savings from budget transfer vs. actual debt 387,387 FY 97 Uses (increase in debt service over ~3rior year) 526,183 FY 98 Addition (from General Fund) 400,000 FY98 Uses 288,640 FY 99 Addition (from General Fund) 400,000 FY 99 Uses 1,625,355 FY 00 Addition (from General Fund) 450,000 FY00 Uses 591,796 FY01 Addition (from General Fund) 450,000 FY01 Uses 424,130 FY02 Addition (from General Fund) 450,000 FY02 Uses 709.511 CUMULATIVE BALANCE 0 250,000 1,145,568 1,595,568 1,982,955 1,456,772 1,856,772 1,568,132 1,968,132 342,777 792,777 200,981 650,981 226,851 676,851 (32,660) DEBTRES.WK4 , ~ 09/01/96 I FY 97/98 - 01/02 REQUESTED CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM -ALL FUNDS CUMULATIVE OPERATING BUDGET IMPACT TOTAL PRIOR ** FY 97-98 FY 9899 FY 99-00 FY 00-0~ FY 01-02 TOTAL GENERAL GOVT. OPERATING BUDGET CPI 102.93% 102.91% 10~.89% 102~7% 102.70% Administration & Courts Rev County Computer Upgrade 342.900 25.600 51,400 56.200 52.700 69.900 77.100 317.300 New Old Real Estate Building Improvements 5,553 1,800 1.852 1.902 5.553 New Old Jail I Old Jailor's House Improvements 5.553 1.800 1.852 1.g02 5,553 Rev C.O.B. Maintenance/ReDJacement 1.503 ~0 ~0 ~1 ~ 1~_5~ Subtotal Admin. & Courts 359,509 25,600 51,400 56,560 66,670 73,984 81,295 329,909 Public Safety Rev Fire/RescueSuilding&EquipmentFand 3.360,474 74.500 174.750 236,250 399.500 1.221.250 1.254.224 3.285,974 Rev Police NCIC 2000 Upgraoe 1.670 400 412 423 435 1.670 New Police LAN Upgrade 5.000 5.0C0 New Transport Vehicle for Arrests 3.400 8,400 3,400 New Mobile Command Center 4.000 4,000 4,000 New ,~uveni~e Detention Facility 1.137.683 105.000 195.000 200.636 206.394 211.~c~6 1.032.683 Subtotal Public Safety 4,512,226 179.500 369,790 437,325 606.386 1,434,073 1,485,193 4,332.726 Highways & Transportation Cont Route 29 North Landscaping 43.873 5.000 5,000 10.(X~0 10.289 10.584 38.873 Rev ivy Road Bike Lanes & Streeflights 24.440 5.000 9.720 9,720 24.440 Cont Greanbder/hydraulic Road Streetlights 7.200 3.600 3,600 7~.00 Cont Ivy Road Landscaping 99.500 49.750 4_9,750 ~9.500 Subtotal Highways & Transportation 175,013 5,000 8.000 10.000 15.289 73,654 63.070 170,013 Parks & Recreation Cant Walnut Creek Park Improvements 5.040 680 3,680 ~80 5.040 Rev Scottsvitle Community Ctr. Outdoor Imp. 36.315 900 1.300 6,380 6,825 10.225 10.685 35.415 Rev R~vanna Graanway Access and Path 38.116 918 1.800 6.300 8.000 9.700 11,400 37.200 New Crozet Park Athletic Field Development 79.280 6.030 8.885 9,395 15.210 39.760 79,280 New SO. Atbemade Organization Park Dev. 21.435 6.825 7.125 7.485 21.435 Rev County Athletic Field Study / Developmenl 79.280 6.030 8.885 9.395 15.210 39.760 79,280 New Towe Lower Field Irrigation 500 Subtotal Parks & Recreation 259,968 1.818 15,160 30,450 41.120 61,150 110,270 258,150 Rev School Projects New High School Comm. Rec. Facilities SUBTOTAL - GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5,302,717 SCHOOL DIVISION OPERATING BUDGET CPI New Cale Addition / Alterations 3.570 New High School Technology Education Labs 26.479 New Hollymead Gym / Restrooms 4.100 Cont New High School 6.359.048 Cont Administrative Technology (Schools) 167.700 Cont Instructional Technology (Schools) 2.144.880 ;~e~ WAHS Building Renovations 26.700 Rev Henley Addition 190.120 :~ev Technology Education Labs 3,750 Rev ;~ed Hill Expansion 109.458 Rev Northern Area Elementary Rev Stone Robinson Addition 70.540 Subtotal School Division 9,106,344 GRAND TOTAL 14,409,061 211,9t8 444,310 534,335 729,465 1,642,862 1,739,828 5,090,799 130.000 8,450 95.480 19,500 253,430 465,348 102.93% 102.91% 102.89% 102.87% 102.70% 3.570 3,570 5.000 5.146 5,294 5.446 5.593 26.479 4.100 4.100 148,186 1.442.314 1.503.4~6 1.546.640 1.588,406 5.229.048 19.850 25.850 31.850 37.850 43.850 159.250 279.500 352.200 415,700 471.450 530.550 2.04g 400 7.200 7.200 35,900 36.945 38.012 39.103 40.159 190,120 3.750 3,750 54,000 55.458 109,458 85.000 773.939 794.835 1.653,774 34.800 35.740 70.540 488A36 1,873,404 2,079,353 2,963,235 3,102,261 10,506,689 932,746 2,407,739 2,808,8t8 4,606,097 4,842,089 15,597,488 09110/96 ~ 5YRPLN2_WK4 Revenues Local Revenues General Property Taxes: General property taxes are ad valorem taxes based on the assessed value of real and personal property owned by businesses, individuals, and public service corporations. General property taxes and other local taxes constitute the greatest source of local revenues, at approximately 60% of total General Fund revenues. Both real and personal property are assessed at 100% valuation with tax rates being applied per $100 of assessed value. Real property taxes increase due to the biennial real estate reassessment, plus new construction. Increases in personal property reflect the increased number and purchase value of new vehicles. General Property taxes consist of real estate, public service, personal property, mobile home, and machinery. & tools taxes: Real Property taxes are the largest source of revenue for the County and are based on the biennial reassessment of real property and new construction and comprise approximately 40% of total general fund revenues. In a non-reassessment year, revenue estimation is based on the current tax base, estimated roll back taxes, and new construction. Estimating new construction for the upcoming year is difficnlt, since it is effected by swings in the local economy and reai estate market. Projections are based on information from the County Assessor, as well as information on building permit activity fi.om the Departments of Planning and Inspections. Land use deferrals reduce available tax revenues by approximately 15% or a total of $5.5 million in FY96/97. Tax relief exemptions for the elderly and disabled also reduce tax revenues, but only by approximately .4% or $160,750 in FY96/97. The current tax rate levied on $100 of assessed value is $0.72. Since June, 1996, real property taxes are required to be paid in two installments due on June 5 and December 5. Public Service taxes are levied on the real estate and tangible personal property owned by railroads, utilities, pipelines, and other businesses required to register with the State Corporation Commission (SCC). Personal Property taxes are taxes levied on vehicles owned by both individuals and businesses as well as other tangible property owned by businesses. Personal Property taxes comprise approximately 20% of General Fund revenues. Fire/rescue volunteers receive an exemption based on the current average value of a volunteer's vehicle of $5,700. The current tax rate levy on $100 of the property's fair market value is $4.28. Personal property rexes are paid ia two installments due on June 5 and December 5. Mobile home taxes are levied on mobile homes not classified as real estate that are owned by individuals and businesses. Mobile Home taxes are projected to increase $2,400, or 3.7~, over the 1995/96 Budget. Machinery & Tools taxes are levied on equipment used by manufacturers in the manufacturing process. Other Local Taxes: Other local taxes are excise taxes levied on the following categories of local transactions: Sales and Use taxes are revenues received by the County from the 1 cent of the 4 1/2 cents state sales tax generated with~ the County. Sales tax revenues have increased substantially in the past five years and comprise approximately 9% of General Fund revenues. Consumer Utility taxes are taxes collected by utility companies and remitted to the County from residential, industrial, and commercial users of telephone, gas, and electric services. The tax rate on electric and telephone service is 20% of the first $20. The commercial rate is t0% of the first $3,000 and 2% on the excess. Business, Professional and Occupational License (BPOL) taxes are revenues collected from businesses, professions, and occupations for the privilege of operating within the County. The mount of tax to be paid by each business is calculated by multiplying the applicable tax rate by the business' gross receipts from the previous calendar. Utility Company License taxes are taxes collected from the public service corporations as a utility license for the privilege of operating within the County. Motor Vehicle Licenses are registration fees collected from vehicle owners for the privilege of operating vehicles on the County highways. License decals are based on weight and range from $20-$25 for motor vehicles and $6.50 - $25 for trailers. Motorcycle registrations cost $15. Recordation Tax/Seller's Tax/Tax on Wills. The recordation tax is levied on transactions including the recording of deeds, deeds of trust, mortgages, leases, contracts and agreements admitted to record by the Clerk of the Circuit Court and remitted to the County. Hotel and Motel Room rexes, often called transient or lodging taxes, are taxes assessed on the use of hotels, motels, boarding houses and travel campgrounds by transients. The authority to levy these taxes varies greatly among jurisdictions. Counties through general law have been limited to a maximum tax rate of 2%, although 1996 legislation now allows counties to levy a maximum transient mx rate of 5% if the increased revenues are used to benefit tourism. Permits and fees Permits and fees are revenues collected from permits and privilege fees required by the County. The revenue from permits is intended to offset the cost of inspeetious provided by the County after the permit is obtained. The majority of permits are development-related. Fines and Forfeitures Fine and Forfeitures are revenues collected by the County for court and parking fines as a result of violations of Coumy ordinances and regulations. Revenue from the Use of Money and Property Revenue from the use of money and property are revenues earned by the County from its investment of funds, sale of surplus property, and rent of County facilities. Charges for Services Charges for services are revenues generated by the services of Connty personnel. Major categories include: Excess Fees of Clerk are revenues collected by the local Clerk of Circuit Court and returned to the State. The State keeps two-thirds of the revenues and returns one-third to the locality after deducting the mount needed to operate the Clerk of Circuit Court's Office. Sheriff's Fees are revenues collected by the Sheriffs Department for serving court papers and services rendered by uniformed personnel. Increased service fees are balanced by a reimbursable overtime expense in the Sheriffs budget. Police Service Fees are revenues collected by the County when uniformed police are hired for security purposes at private events or other functions. Charges for Administration are administrative fees charged to agencies for carrying out the accounting, personnel and purchasing functions of a fiscal agent. Albemarle serves as the fiscal agent for the Joint Security Complex, Emergency Operations Center, Towe Park, and the Teen Center. Charges for Parks and Recreation are revenues received by the County for participation in recreational activities. Charges for Sales and Services include revenues for the sale of publications, maps, and information reports generated by County personnel. Miscellaneous: Miscellaneous revenue is revenue collected by the County that is not classified in any other category. Payments in Lien of Taxes - Local: Payments in lieu of taxes are payments received from tax exempt local organizations in lieu of property taxes. Donations: Donations are any additional monies that the County may receive from foundations, individuals, businesses and are usually targeted for a specific purpose. Examples include a FY95/96 donation from Monticello for median strip maintenance along Route 20 in Albemarle and a donation from Jefferson National Bank to partially fund the expansion of the part-tirae Housing Counselor position. Recovered Costs: Recovered costs are reimbursements from other government entities or insurance companies for costs incurred by the County on their behalf. Examples include E-911 revenues or the City's contribution m the Juvenile Court and the Extension Service. State Revenues Payments in Lieu of Taxes: Payments in lieu of taxes are payments received from the State for service charges incurred by the University of Virginia in lieu of property rexes. Non-Categorical Aid: Non-categorical aid includes revenues which are raised by the State and shared with the County. The use of such revenues is at the diseretion of the County. Ratios, rate and distribution formulas are subject to change each year by the General Assembly. ABC revenue represents two-thirds of the profits of the Alcoholic Beverage Control Commission and is distributed quarterly to counties based upon the 1990 census. Wine taxes are also distributed based on the 1990 census; 44% of this revenue goes to the localities. Included in this category is a 4% tax on leased vehicles. Categorical Aid - State Shared Expenses: Shared expenses includes revenues collected by the Commonwealth for the state's share of expenditures in activities that are considered to be a state/local responsibility, This revenue represents the funding for the Constitutional Officers and is determined by the Compensation Board on an annual basis. State Categorical Aid: State categorical aid includes revenues received from and designated by the Commonwealth for a specific use by the County. Some revenues are received on a reimbursable basis and are principally provided through the Department of Social Services. These funds cannot be used for any purposes other than what the State has so designated. Other revenues include: 599 police funds, Emergency Medical Service funds (distributed to rescue squads), Fire Service Program Funds [distributed to volunteer fire departments), Recordation Tax (distributed for ~ransportation and/or education purposes), and specific purpose grants. Federal Revenues Payments In Lieu of Taxes: The Federal Government makes payments in lieu of taxes to the County for tax-exempt park lands located within the county. The total payment is approximately $11,000. Categorical Aid: Federal categorical aid includes revenues received from and designated by the Federal Government for a specific use by the County. Such revenues usually are received on a reimbursable basis. Major categories reflect federal grants to social service programs and the Moderate Rehabilitation funds from HUD. Transfers: Transfer paymems are amounts transferred to the General Fund Revenue Account for the purpose of balancing the budgex. Transfer payments often consist of re-appropriations of encumbered and committed projects carried over from the prior fiscal year and mid-year appropriations. (sUO!l~) S (suo!ll!l~l) S (suo!ll!RI) $ suo!lt!~ $ suoHI!lN $ pun:l I~Jeue~)~o % Charlotte Y. Humphris Forrest R. Marshall. Jr. COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4596 (804~ 296-5843 FAX (804} 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Walter F. Perkins Sally H. Thomas Mr. Wayne Campagna, Director Emergency Operations Center PO Box 911 Charlottesville, VA 22902 Dear Wayne: At its meeting on September 16, 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the personnel at the Albemarle/ Charlottesville/University of Virginia Emergency Operations Center who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, /ewc · ~arey, Clerk.~C Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 McIntire Road Charlottesville. Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296~5843 FAX f804, 296-5800 September 18. 1996 Mrs. Angela Tucker Resident Engineer Department of Transportation 701 VDoT Way Charlottesville, VA 22911 Dear Mrs. Tucker: At its meeting on September 16, 1996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the personnel at the Virginia Department of Transportation who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fram Sincerely, ewc Attachment Printed on recFcled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296~5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September ][8, 1996 Charles S. Martin Wal~er F. Perkins Sall~ H. Thomas Mr. Phil Sparks Director of Media and Commtmlty Relations 1199 Fifth Street, SW Charlottesville, VA 22902-6466 Dear Mr. Sparks: At its meeting on September 16. 1996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to al/the personnel at Virginia Power who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, Ella W. Carey, Clerk,~C C /ewc Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 40l McIntire Road Charlottesvi]Ie, Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles $. Martin Walter F Perkins Sally H. Thomas Mr. Craig Hearn Eariysville Volunteer Fire Co .mpany 2639 Frays Mills Road Ruckersville, VA 22968 Dear Mr. Heam: At its meeting on September 16, 1996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville. Virginia 22902-4.596 (804) 296-5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Walter F. PerKins Mr. Julian Taliaferro City of Charlottesville Fire Department 203 Ridge Street Charlottesville, VA 22902 Dear Mr. Taliaferro: At its meeting on September 16, 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, 'ewc Ella W. Carey, Clerk, C;C Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville. Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-$84~ FAX 1804] 296~5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Walter F. Perkins Sally H. Thomas Mr. DmSd Allen North Garden Volunteer Fire Company 5627 Cove Garden Road Covesville. VA 22931 Dear Mr. Allen: At its meeting on September 16, ~996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the volmqteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, Ella W. Carey, ~C /ewc Attachment Prinfed on recycled paper David P. Bowerman Char]otte Y. Humphrls Forrest R. Marshall, Jr. COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Waker F. Perkins S~lh; H. Thomas Mr. John Sweeney Earlysville Volunteer Fire Company 3763 Eartysville Road Earlysville. VA 22936 Dear Mr. Sweeney: At its meeting on September 16. 1996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, · ey, C ~ 'ewc Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin WaSter F. Perkins Sall~ H. Thomas Mr. Pete Oprandy Crozet Volunteer Fire Company 1230 Red Pine Court Crozet, VA 22932 Dear Mr. Oprandy: At its meeting on September 16, 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing irs appreciation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fram. Sincerely, /ewc Ella W. Carey, Clerk. Attachment Printed on recycled/~per DaSd P. Boatman Chark~te Y, Humphri~ Forrest R. Marshall. Jr. COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-5843 FAX ~804) 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles $. Martin Walter F. Perkins Sally H Thomas Mr. Alan Norford Stony Point Volunteer Fire Company 4024 Stony Point Pass Keswick. VA 22947 Dear Mr. Norford: At its meeting on September 16, 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, /ewc Ella W. Carey, C Attachment ]Printed on recpcled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 M¢lntire Road Charlottesville. Vkginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-584,3 FAX (8041 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles $. Martin Walter F. Perkins .Sa[l~ H. Thomas Mr. Robie Via Scottsville Volunteer Fire Company Route 2. Box 336 Scottsville, VA 24590 Dear Mr. Via: At its meeting on September 16, 1996, the Board of Su. perwsors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appredation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fram Sincerely, /ewc Attachment Prin~ed on recpcled paper David P. Bowerman Charlotte Y. Humphris Forrest R~ Marshall. Jr. COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE OlJice of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville. Virginia 22902-4596 (804~ 296-5843 FAX (804~ 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Walter F. Perkins Sally H. Thomas Mr. David Morris Seminole Trail Volunteer Fire Company 2308 Wakefield Road Charlottessville, VA 22901 Dear Mr. Morris: At its meeting on September 16, 1996, the Board of Supervasors adopted the attached resolution expressing irs appreciation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, /ewc Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of,Supervisors 40I Mclnfire Road Charlottesville. kr~rginia 22902-4596 ~804) 296~5843 FAX (804 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Marlin Waller F. Perkins Sally H. Thomas Mr. Harry Cook Charlottesville Volunteer Fire Company 1629 Mulberry Avenue Charlottessville, VA 22901 Dear Mr. Cook: At its meeting on September 16, 1996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Httrricane Fran. Sincerely, /ewc Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville. Virginia 22902-4696 '804) 296-5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September 18. 1996 CharIes S. Martin Walter F. Perkins Sail~ H. Thomas Mr. Dayton Haugh Charlottesville/Albemarle Rescue Squad PO Box 1275 Charlottesville, VA 22902 Dear Mr. Haugh~ At its meeting on September 16, 199& the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resoluti6n expressing ~ts appreciation to all the members of the rescue squads who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, Ella W. Carey, ClerkZM~ /ewc Attachment Printed on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4696 804) 296-5843 FAX 1804, 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Walter F. Perkins Mr. Bill Downs Western Albemarle Rescue Squad PO Box 234 Crozet, VA 22932 Dear Mr. Downs: At its meeting on September 16, 1996, the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all the members of the rescue squads who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, lewc Attachment Printed on recycled paper David P. Bowe rman Charlotte ¥. Humphrls Forrest R. Marshall, Jr COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville. Virginia 22902-4596 (804) 296-5843 FAX 804} 296-$800 September 18. 1996 CharIes S. Martin Walter F. Perkins Sails H. Thomas Mr. Mike Johnson Scottsville Rescue Squad PO Box 33 Scottsville. VA 24590 Dear Mr. Johnson: At its meeting on Se. ptember 16. 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressmg ~ts appreciation to all the members of the rescue squads who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, Ella W. Carey, Clerk. C~WlC /ewc Attachment Printed on rec.vclecl lo.per COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE Office of Board of Supervisors 401 Mclntire Road Charlottesville, Virginia 22902-4596 (804~ 296-5843 FAX (804) 296-5800 September 18, 1996 Charles S. Martin Waiter F. Perkins Sally H. Thomas Mr. Raymond Jones East Rivanna Volunteer Fire Company PO Box 8 Keswick. VA 22947 Dear Mr. Jones: At its meeting on September 16. 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to all t2~e members of the volunteer fire companies who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. Sincerely, ,ewc Attachment PHnted on recycled paper COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: DATE: RE: John Miller, C/deL Police Department Ella W. Carey, Clerk, CMC~'~-'~ September 19, 1996 Resolution in Appreciation At its meeting on September 16, 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to the staff of the Police Department who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fran. /ewc Attachment COUNTY OF ALBEMARLE MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: DATE: RE: Pat Mullaney, Director, Parks and Recreation Ella W. Carey, Clerk, CMC ~ September 19, 1996 Resolution in Appreciation At its meeting on September 16. 1996. the Board of Supervisors adopted the attached resolution expressing its appreciation to the staff of the Department of Parks amd Recreation who worked beyond the call of duty during and after Hurricane Fram ewc Attachment RESOLUTION CONCERNING THE REVERSION OF THE CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE TO TOWN STATUS WHEREAS, cXtizens of the City of Charlottesville are actively circulating a petition to initiate the legal proceedings to cause the reversion of the City of Charlottesville to town status; and WHEREAS, the Charlottesville City Council can unilaterally initiate the legal proceedings to cause the reversion of the City of Charlottesville to town status; and WHEREAS, the Albemarle County Board of Supervisors believes it is timely for its position to be clearly and publicly stated; and WHEREAS, the Board of Supervisors has determined that it would be in the best interests of the County of Albemarle to avoid protracted and expensive litigation and the court-imposed terms and conditions of a litigated reversion; and WHEREAS, if reversion is initiated by citizen petition or by City Com~cil, the Board of Supervisors wonld prefer, if possible, to adxieve a negotiated reversion of the City to town status; and WHEREAS, analyses by the County and City indicate that a reversion of the City to town status is not feasible unless there is a consolidation of the City and County schools systems; and WHEREAS, the County and City agree that a joint study of the issues relating to a consolidation of schools under reversion should be conducted by the County and City school boards as the first step in determining whether a negotiated reversion is feasible; and WHEREAS, the Board of Supervisors has determined that a consolidation of Cotmty and City schools, unless such consolidation is a result of the City's reverting to town status, does not provide a long term and lasting solution to the City's projected financial problems. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the Albemarle County Board of Supervisors has determined it will not (1) negotiate any amendment to the Annexation and Revenue Sharing Agreement which ~vould provide either additional revenue to the City or expand the City's boundaries, (2) renegotiate the funding formulas of existing joint service agreements to subsidize services provided to the City, or (3) consent to a consolidation of County and City schools unless such consolidation is a result of the City's reverting to town status. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED by the Board of Supervisors that if after the joint study of school consolidation is completed, ( 1 ) the dtizens or the City Com~cil of Charlottesville initiate the legal proceedings to cause the reversion of the City of Charlottesville to town status and (2) it is determined by the County that a consolidated school system resulting from the reversion is beneficial and in the best interests of the community, then the Board is conzmitted to pursuing a negotiated reversion of the City of Charlottesville to town status to provide for a long term solution for the provision of governmental services to the community in lieu of court imposed conditions of a litigated reversion. If the citizens or the City Council of Charlottesville initiate the legal proceedings to cause the reversion of the City of Charlottesville to To~vn status prior to timely completion of the joint study, the County will oppose those proceedings to the extent necessary to protect the interests of its citizens from any court-imposed conditions. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the Board of Supervisors supports the initiation of a joint study by the Albemarle County and City of Charlottesville school boards to determine the feasibility and benefits of the abolition of the City school system tmder reversion and the resulting effects on the County school system which ,vould be required to provide education to the children of both the County and the new town. The Board agrees that the County will equally share the costs of such study with the City of Charlottesville. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that after the joint school study is completed and if a negotiated reversion is pursued, the Board of Supervisors supports the joint and systematic study of the services provided by the Cotmty and City to provide information and analysis to aid the County and City in reaching a negotiated reversion agreeInent. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the Board of Supervisors will continue to work with the Charlottesville City Council regarding these matters and will issue jnint status reports with the Council as these matters progress. 2 I, Ella W. Carey, do hereby certify that the foregoing writing is a true, correct copy of a Resolution duly adopted by the Board of Supervisors of Albemarle County byavote of four to zero on September 17, 1996. Clerk, Board of County Su~fi},Asors KEVERSIO.DOC 3